Recent Indian Meteorological Department forecasts and model consensus point to monsoon-driven cloud cover and scattered thundershowers moderating maximum temperatures in Lucknow on July 4, positioning 35–37 °C as the most probable range. Early-July climatology shows highs typically falling from June peaks near 37–40 °C once the monsoon advances, with increased humidity and rainfall suppressing peak daytime heating. Current short-range guidance indicates partly cloudy skies and light rain potential, consistent with market-implied odds favoring 36 °C at 36 %. Traders are weighting official station data from Chaudhary Charan Singh Airport, where localized convective activity could shift the exact maximum by 1–2 °C. Updated IMD and global model runs over the next 48 hours will refine steering patterns and precipitation timing ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月4日勒克瑙的最高溫度？
7月4日勒克瑙的最高溫度？
36°C 100.0%
32°C or below <1%
33°C <1%
34°C <1%
$46,277 交易量
$46,277 交易量
2026-07-04
32°C or below
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
Yes
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C
No
42°C or higher
No
36°C 100.0%
32°C or below <1%
33°C <1%
34°C <1%
$46,277 交易量
$46,277 交易量
2026-07-04
32°C or below
$2,506 交易量
No
33°C
$4,133 交易量
No
34°C
$4,822 交易量
No
35°C
$4,278 交易量
No
36°C
$9,675 交易量
Yes
37°C
$5,964 交易量
No
38°C
$4,281 交易量
No
39°C
$4,017 交易量
No
40°C
$4,661 交易量
No
41°C
$1,564 交易量
No
42°C or higher
$375 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Indian Meteorological Department forecasts and model consensus point to monsoon-driven cloud cover and scattered thundershowers moderating maximum temperatures in Lucknow on July 4, positioning 35–37 °C as the most probable range. Early-July climatology shows highs typically falling from June peaks near 37–40 °C once the monsoon advances, with increased humidity and rainfall suppressing peak daytime heating. Current short-range guidance indicates partly cloudy skies and light rain potential, consistent with market-implied odds favoring 36 °C at 36 %. Traders are weighting official station data from Chaudhary Charan Singh Airport, where localized convective activity could shift the exact maximum by 1–2 °C. Updated IMD and global model runs over the next 48 hours will refine steering patterns and precipitation timing ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 2, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
交易量
$46,277結束日期
2026-07-04市場開放時間
Jul 2, 2026, 1:02 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Indian Meteorological Department forecasts and model consensus point to monsoon-driven cloud cover and scattered thundershowers moderating maximum temperatures in Lucknow on July 4, positioning 35–37 °C as the most probable range. Early-July climatology shows highs typically falling from June peaks near 37–40 °C once the monsoon advances, with increased humidity and rainfall suppressing peak daytime heating. Current short-range guidance indicates partly cloudy skies and light rain potential, consistent with market-implied odds favoring 36 °C at 36 %. Traders are weighting official station data from Chaudhary Charan Singh Airport, where localized convective activity could shift the exact maximum by 1–2 °C. Updated IMD and global model runs over the next 48 hours will refine steering patterns and precipitation timing ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$46,277結束日期
2026-07-04市場開放時間
Jul 2, 2026, 1:02 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Recent Indian Meteorological Department forecasts and model consensus point to monsoon-driven cloud cover and scattered thundershowers moderating maximum temperatures in Lucknow on July 4, positioning 35–37 °C as the most probable range. Early-July climatology shows highs typically falling from June peaks near 37–40 °C once the monsoon advances, with increased humidity and rainfall suppressing peak daytime heating. Current short-range guidance indicates partly cloudy skies and light rain potential, consistent with market-implied odds favoring 36 °C at 36 %. Traders are weighting official station data from Chaudhary Charan Singh Airport, where localized convective activity could shift the exact maximum by 1–2 °C. Updated IMD and global model runs over the next 48 hours will refine steering patterns and precipitation timing ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions