India Meteorological Department observations confirm Lucknow's maximum temperature reached 33.9°C on May 9, 2026—a departure of -5.8°C below seasonal norms—driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 35°C or below, as this aligns precisely with the market's lowest outcome bin. Recent above-normal rainfall across Uttar Pradesh in early May, including the second-coolest May day in 57 years on May 5 at 28°C, has introduced persistent cloud cover and cooler air masses, suppressing typical pre-monsoon heat that often exceeds 40°C. Forecast models from IMD anticipated this cap at around 35°C, with dry conditions persisting but no intensification signals. Realistic challenges would require a late-day measurement revision upward by official stations or unverified airport data discrepancies, though historical resolution precedents favor observed city-center readings. Final IMD bulletin expected soon will lock in resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Lucknow on May 9?
35°C or below 100.0%
36°C <1%
37°C <1%
38°C <1%
$32,994 Vol.
$32,994 Vol.
35°C or below
Yes
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C
No
42°C
No
43°C
No
44°C
No
45°C or higher
No
35°C or below 100.0%
36°C <1%
37°C <1%
38°C <1%
$32,994 Vol.
$32,994 Vol.
35°C or below
Yes
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C
No
42°C
No
43°C
No
44°C
No
45°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 7, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Yes
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Yes
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Yes
India Meteorological Department observations confirm Lucknow's maximum temperature reached 33.9°C on May 9, 2026—a departure of -5.8°C below seasonal norms—driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 35°C or below, as this aligns precisely with the market's lowest outcome bin. Recent above-normal rainfall across Uttar Pradesh in early May, including the second-coolest May day in 57 years on May 5 at 28°C, has introduced persistent cloud cover and cooler air masses, suppressing typical pre-monsoon heat that often exceeds 40°C. Forecast models from IMD anticipated this cap at around 35°C, with dry conditions persisting but no intensification signals. Realistic challenges would require a late-day measurement revision upward by official stations or unverified airport data discrepancies, though historical resolution precedents favor observed city-center readings. Final IMD bulletin expected soon will lock in resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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