Current ensemble guidance from major models shows Milan highs clustering in the low-to-mid 30s°C on July 2 under a broad subtropical ridge promoting subsidence, clear skies, and light northerly flow. This setup favors strong daytime heating over the Po Valley, where limited soil moisture and weak winds enhance sensible heat flux. Minor differences among 32–33°C outcomes stem from subtle variations in boundary-layer mixing, any residual moisture from recent upstream convection, and exact timing of peak insolation versus possible thin high cloud. Historical July maxima average near 29–31°C, so the current pattern represents modest positive anomalies without extreme heat advection. Updated high-resolution runs and official agency guidance will refine these thresholds before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Milan on July 2?
Highest temperature in Milan on July 2?
32°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$73,022 交易量
$73,022 交易量
2026-07-02
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$73,022 交易量
$73,022 交易量
2026-07-02
29°C or below
$3,975 交易量
No
30°C
$12,414 交易量
No
31°C
$10,105 交易量
No
32°C
$12,780 交易量
Yes
33°C
$9,826 交易量
No
34°C
$9,111 交易量
No
35°C
$2,468 交易量
No
36°C
$1,053 交易量
No
37°C
$1,852 交易量
No
38°C
$5,667 交易量
No
39°C or higher
$3,771 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble guidance from major models shows Milan highs clustering in the low-to-mid 30s°C on July 2 under a broad subtropical ridge promoting subsidence, clear skies, and light northerly flow. This setup favors strong daytime heating over the Po Valley, where limited soil moisture and weak winds enhance sensible heat flux. Minor differences among 32–33°C outcomes stem from subtle variations in boundary-layer mixing, any residual moisture from recent upstream convection, and exact timing of peak insolation versus possible thin high cloud. Historical July maxima average near 29–31°C, so the current pattern represents modest positive anomalies without extreme heat advection. Updated high-resolution runs and official agency guidance will refine these thresholds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 30, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
交易量
$73,022結束日期
2026-07-02市場開放時間
Jun 30, 2026, 1:02 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble guidance from major models shows Milan highs clustering in the low-to-mid 30s°C on July 2 under a broad subtropical ridge promoting subsidence, clear skies, and light northerly flow. This setup favors strong daytime heating over the Po Valley, where limited soil moisture and weak winds enhance sensible heat flux. Minor differences among 32–33°C outcomes stem from subtle variations in boundary-layer mixing, any residual moisture from recent upstream convection, and exact timing of peak insolation versus possible thin high cloud. Historical July maxima average near 29–31°C, so the current pattern represents modest positive anomalies without extreme heat advection. Updated high-resolution runs and official agency guidance will refine these thresholds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$73,022結束日期
2026-07-02市場開放時間
Jun 30, 2026, 1:02 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Current ensemble guidance from major models shows Milan highs clustering in the low-to-mid 30s°C on July 2 under a broad subtropical ridge promoting subsidence, clear skies, and light northerly flow. This setup favors strong daytime heating over the Po Valley, where limited soil moisture and weak winds enhance sensible heat flux. Minor differences among 32–33°C outcomes stem from subtle variations in boundary-layer mixing, any residual moisture from recent upstream convection, and exact timing of peak insolation versus possible thin high cloud. Historical July maxima average near 29–31°C, so the current pattern represents modest positive anomalies without extreme heat advection. Updated high-resolution runs and official agency guidance will refine these thresholds before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions