Official observations from Milano Malpensa Airport station—the market's designated resolution source—confirm the highest temperature on May 9 reached 24°C, driving trader consensus to near-certainty on this outcome as reflected in the 100% implied probability. This aligns with forecasts from the Italian Aeronautica Militare and ECMWF models, which predicted daytime highs in the mid-20s under a stable high-pressure ridge over northern Italy, featuring partly cloudy skies, light winds, and moderate humidity that capped warming potential. Typical May climatology for Milan supports such readings, with historical averages around 22–24°C. Realistic challenges would require a data revision uncovering a higher verified peak, such as from recalibrated sensors, though official reports show no such discrepancies; final validation from ARPA Lombardia or Servizio Meteorologico awaits.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Milan on May 9?
Highest temperature in Milan on May 9?
24°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$98,948 交易量
$98,948 交易量
2026-05-09
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$98,948 交易量
$98,948 交易量
2026-05-09
18°C or below
$2,180 交易量
No
19°C
$963 交易量
No
20°C
$33,136 交易量
No
21°C
$10,952 交易量
No
22°C
$7,437 交易量
No
23°C
$11,121 交易量
No
24°C
$8,223 交易量
Yes
25°C
$9,165 交易量
No
26°C
$7,790 交易量
No
27°C
$4,083 交易量
No
28°C or higher
$3,896 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Milano Malpensa Airport station—the market's designated resolution source—confirm the highest temperature on May 9 reached 24°C, driving trader consensus to near-certainty on this outcome as reflected in the 100% implied probability. This aligns with forecasts from the Italian Aeronautica Militare and ECMWF models, which predicted daytime highs in the mid-20s under a stable high-pressure ridge over northern Italy, featuring partly cloudy skies, light winds, and moderate humidity that capped warming potential. Typical May climatology for Milan supports such readings, with historical averages around 22–24°C. Realistic challenges would require a data revision uncovering a higher verified peak, such as from recalibrated sensors, though official reports show no such discrepancies; final validation from ARPA Lombardia or Servizio Meteorologico awaits.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： May 7, 2026, 12:40 AM ET
交易量
$98,948結束日期
2026-05-09市場開放時間
May 7, 2026, 12:40 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Milano Malpensa Airport station—the market's designated resolution source—confirm the highest temperature on May 9 reached 24°C, driving trader consensus to near-certainty on this outcome as reflected in the 100% implied probability. This aligns with forecasts from the Italian Aeronautica Militare and ECMWF models, which predicted daytime highs in the mid-20s under a stable high-pressure ridge over northern Italy, featuring partly cloudy skies, light winds, and moderate humidity that capped warming potential. Typical May climatology for Milan supports such readings, with historical averages around 22–24°C. Realistic challenges would require a data revision uncovering a higher verified peak, such as from recalibrated sensors, though official reports show no such discrepancies; final validation from ARPA Lombardia or Servizio Meteorologico awaits.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$98,948結束日期
2026-05-09市場開放時間
May 7, 2026, 12:40 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Official observations from Milano Malpensa Airport station—the market's designated resolution source—confirm the highest temperature on May 9 reached 24°C, driving trader consensus to near-certainty on this outcome as reflected in the 100% implied probability. This aligns with forecasts from the Italian Aeronautica Militare and ECMWF models, which predicted daytime highs in the mid-20s under a stable high-pressure ridge over northern Italy, featuring partly cloudy skies, light winds, and moderate humidity that capped warming potential. Typical May climatology for Milan supports such readings, with historical averages around 22–24°C. Realistic challenges would require a data revision uncovering a higher verified peak, such as from recalibrated sensors, though official reports show no such discrepancies; final validation from ARPA Lombardia or Servizio Meteorologico awaits.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions