Official observations from the Vnukovo International Airport meteorological station, archived by NOAA—the authoritative source for this market's resolution—confirm Moscow's highest temperature on May 9, 2026, reached exactly 12°C amid persistent overcast skies and northerly winds from a recent cold frontal passage. This marked a sharp departure from earlier May warmth, including near 28°C highs around May 7, as cool air masses and cloud-induced suppression of solar heating aligned with short-range forecast models. Trader consensus at 100% reflects this verified data, embodying skin-in-the-game agreement on the final reading. Realistic challenges are minimal, limited to rare post hoc data revisions during quality control, though standardized METAR protocols ensure high reliability. Climatological May averages hover around 17–18°C, underscoring the anomalously cool conditions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Moscow on May 9?
Highest temperature in Moscow on May 9?
12°C 100.0%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$72,688 Vol.
$72,688 Vol.
May 9, 2026
7°C or below
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
Yes
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C or higher
No
12°C 100.0%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$72,688 Vol.
$72,688 Vol.
May 9, 2026
7°C or below
$1,252 Vol.
No
8°C
$4,523 Vol.
No
9°C
$2,850 Vol.
No
10°C
$3,403 Vol.
No
11°C
$6,640 Vol.
No
12°C
$7,669 Vol.
Yes
13°C
$6,278 Vol.
No
14°C
$7,838 Vol.
No
15°C
$8,025 Vol.
No
16°C
$10,952 Vol.
No
17°C or higher
$13,257 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Vnukovo International Airport meteorological station, archived by NOAA—the authoritative source for this market's resolution—confirm Moscow's highest temperature on May 9, 2026, reached exactly 12°C amid persistent overcast skies and northerly winds from a recent cold frontal passage. This marked a sharp departure from earlier May warmth, including near 28°C highs around May 7, as cool air masses and cloud-induced suppression of solar heating aligned with short-range forecast models. Trader consensus at 100% reflects this verified data, embodying skin-in-the-game agreement on the final reading. Realistic challenges are minimal, limited to rare post hoc data revisions during quality control, though standardized METAR protocols ensure high reliability. Climatological May averages hover around 17–18°C, underscoring the anomalously cool conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 7, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Volume
$72,688End Date
May 9, 2026Market Opened
May 7, 2026, 12:12 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Vnukovo International Airport meteorological station, archived by NOAA—the authoritative source for this market's resolution—confirm Moscow's highest temperature on May 9, 2026, reached exactly 12°C amid persistent overcast skies and northerly winds from a recent cold frontal passage. This marked a sharp departure from earlier May warmth, including near 28°C highs around May 7, as cool air masses and cloud-induced suppression of solar heating aligned with short-range forecast models. Trader consensus at 100% reflects this verified data, embodying skin-in-the-game agreement on the final reading. Realistic challenges are minimal, limited to rare post hoc data revisions during quality control, though standardized METAR protocols ensure high reliability. Climatological May averages hover around 17–18°C, underscoring the anomalously cool conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$72,688End Date
May 9, 2026Market Opened
May 7, 2026, 12:12 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official observations from the Vnukovo International Airport meteorological station, archived by NOAA—the authoritative source for this market's resolution—confirm Moscow's highest temperature on May 9, 2026, reached exactly 12°C amid persistent overcast skies and northerly winds from a recent cold frontal passage. This marked a sharp departure from earlier May warmth, including near 28°C highs around May 7, as cool air masses and cloud-induced suppression of solar heating aligned with short-range forecast models. Trader consensus at 100% reflects this verified data, embodying skin-in-the-game agreement on the final reading. Realistic challenges are minimal, limited to rare post hoc data revisions during quality control, though standardized METAR protocols ensure high reliability. Climatological May averages hover around 17–18°C, underscoring the anomalously cool conditions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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