Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 10°C at Munich Airport station on April 21, 2026, reflecting confirmed observational data from the Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD), Germany's official meteorological authority. Hourly records show the maximum reached exactly 10°C (50°F) around 15:50 local time amid mostly cloudy skies, light rain showers, and northerly winds from an upper-level trough suppressing warmth, with daily lows near 1°C. This aligns with a colder-than-normal April, where monthly means fell to 4.5°C versus the 9.4°C climatological average. Scenarios challenging this include rare DWD data revisions from sensor recalibration or quality control, though such adjustments are minimal post-validation; traders await final archived reports for resolution certainty.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Munich on April 21?
Highest temperature in Munich on April 21?
10°C 100.0%
4°C or below <1%
5°C <1%
6°C <1%
$111,887 Vol.
$111,887 Vol.
21 abr 2026
4°C or below
No
5°C
No
6°C
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
Yes
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C or higher
No
10°C 100.0%
4°C or below <1%
5°C <1%
6°C <1%
$111,887 Vol.
$111,887 Vol.
21 abr 2026
4°C or below
$2,853 Vol.
No
5°C
$757 Vol.
No
6°C
$3,071 Vol.
No
7°C
$12,322 Vol.
No
8°C
$19,717 Vol.
No
9°C
$13,111 Vol.
No
10°C
$15,797 Vol.
Yes
11°C
$14,123 Vol.
No
12°C
$14,095 Vol.
No
13°C
$7,908 Vol.
No
14°C or higher
$8,134 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 10°C at Munich Airport station on April 21, 2026, reflecting confirmed observational data from the Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD), Germany's official meteorological authority. Hourly records show the maximum reached exactly 10°C (50°F) around 15:50 local time amid mostly cloudy skies, light rain showers, and northerly winds from an upper-level trough suppressing warmth, with daily lows near 1°C. This aligns with a colder-than-normal April, where monthly means fell to 4.5°C versus the 9.4°C climatological average. Scenarios challenging this include rare DWD data revisions from sensor recalibration or quality control, though such adjustments are minimal post-validation; traders await final archived reports for resolution certainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 19, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volumen
$111,887Fecha de finalización
21 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 19, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 10°C at Munich Airport station on April 21, 2026, reflecting confirmed observational data from the Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD), Germany's official meteorological authority. Hourly records show the maximum reached exactly 10°C (50°F) around 15:50 local time amid mostly cloudy skies, light rain showers, and northerly winds from an upper-level trough suppressing warmth, with daily lows near 1°C. This aligns with a colder-than-normal April, where monthly means fell to 4.5°C versus the 9.4°C climatological average. Scenarios challenging this include rare DWD data revisions from sensor recalibration or quality control, though such adjustments are minimal post-validation; traders await final archived reports for resolution certainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$111,887Fecha de finalización
21 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 19, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 10°C at Munich Airport station on April 21, 2026, reflecting confirmed observational data from the Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD), Germany's official meteorological authority. Hourly records show the maximum reached exactly 10°C (50°F) around 15:50 local time amid mostly cloudy skies, light rain showers, and northerly winds from an upper-level trough suppressing warmth, with daily lows near 1°C. This aligns with a colder-than-normal April, where monthly means fell to 4.5°C versus the 9.4°C climatological average. Scenarios challenging this include rare DWD data revisions from sensor recalibration or quality control, though such adjustments are minimal post-validation; traders await final archived reports for resolution certainty.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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