Latest National Weather Service and model guidance point to a high-pressure ridge promoting mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow over the Northeast on June 19, supporting maximum temperatures in the low-to-mid 80s°F in central Manhattan. Ensemble spreads in the GFS and ECMWF runs create the tight clustering around the 82–85°F bins, with small differences in boundary-layer mixing, cloud timing, and urban heat-island enhancement determining whether readings top out near 82°F or reach 85°F. Dew-point forecasts near 60°F and weak winds limit extreme heating, keeping probabilities for 90°F+ below 2 percent while still favoring outcomes above the June climatological normal of roughly 81°F. Updated model runs and the 12Z NWS forecast discussion tomorrow morning will provide the final data traders are weighing.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in NYC on June 19?
Highest temperature in NYC on June 19?
82-83°F 100.0%
75°F or below <1%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$126,060 交易量
$126,060 交易量
2026-06-19
75°F or below
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
Yes
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
No
94°F or higher
No
82-83°F 100.0%
75°F or below <1%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$126,060 交易量
$126,060 交易量
2026-06-19
75°F or below
$2,940 交易量
No
76-77°F
$5,237 交易量
No
78-79°F
$13,248 交易量
No
80-81°F
$17,599 交易量
No
82-83°F
$18,827 交易量
Yes
84-85°F
$21,153 交易量
No
86-87°F
$26,916 交易量
No
88-89°F
$11,151 交易量
No
90-91°F
$6,358 交易量
No
92-93°F
$1,297 交易量
No
94°F or higher
$1,335 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and model guidance point to a high-pressure ridge promoting mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow over the Northeast on June 19, supporting maximum temperatures in the low-to-mid 80s°F in central Manhattan. Ensemble spreads in the GFS and ECMWF runs create the tight clustering around the 82–85°F bins, with small differences in boundary-layer mixing, cloud timing, and urban heat-island enhancement determining whether readings top out near 82°F or reach 85°F. Dew-point forecasts near 60°F and weak winds limit extreme heating, keeping probabilities for 90°F+ below 2 percent while still favoring outcomes above the June climatological normal of roughly 81°F. Updated model runs and the 12Z NWS forecast discussion tomorrow morning will provide the final data traders are weighing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 17, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
交易量
$126,060結束日期
2026-06-19市場開放時間
Jun 17, 2026, 9:03 PM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and model guidance point to a high-pressure ridge promoting mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow over the Northeast on June 19, supporting maximum temperatures in the low-to-mid 80s°F in central Manhattan. Ensemble spreads in the GFS and ECMWF runs create the tight clustering around the 82–85°F bins, with small differences in boundary-layer mixing, cloud timing, and urban heat-island enhancement determining whether readings top out near 82°F or reach 85°F. Dew-point forecasts near 60°F and weak winds limit extreme heating, keeping probabilities for 90°F+ below 2 percent while still favoring outcomes above the June climatological normal of roughly 81°F. Updated model runs and the 12Z NWS forecast discussion tomorrow morning will provide the final data traders are weighing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$126,060結束日期
2026-06-19市場開放時間
Jun 17, 2026, 9:03 PM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Latest National Weather Service and model guidance point to a high-pressure ridge promoting mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow over the Northeast on June 19, supporting maximum temperatures in the low-to-mid 80s°F in central Manhattan. Ensemble spreads in the GFS and ECMWF runs create the tight clustering around the 82–85°F bins, with small differences in boundary-layer mixing, cloud timing, and urban heat-island enhancement determining whether readings top out near 82°F or reach 85°F. Dew-point forecasts near 60°F and weak winds limit extreme heating, keeping probabilities for 90°F+ below 2 percent while still favoring outcomes above the June climatological normal of roughly 81°F. Updated model runs and the 12Z NWS forecast discussion tomorrow morning will provide the final data traders are weighing.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions