Recent cooling after France's intense late-June heatwave is the main driver behind the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 26–28°C. Persistent high pressure and northeasterly flow that produced 37–40°C readings earlier in the week are weakening, allowing Atlantic maritime air and scattered thundershowers to moderate temperatures. Ensemble guidance from Météo-France and other models shows the highest uncertainty in the precise timing and strength of this transition over the next 48 hours, keeping probabilities for adjacent thresholds nearly even. Historical late-June variability and rapid model shifts in frontal passage or cloud cover add to the balanced sentiment, with resolution hinging on the official maximum recorded on June 29.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6月29日巴黎最高溫度？
6月29日巴黎最高溫度？
28°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$154,426 交易量
$154,426 交易量
2026-06-29
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$154,426 交易量
$154,426 交易量
2026-06-29
24°C or below
$16,698 交易量
No
25°C
$17,590 交易量
No
26°C
$22,204 交易量
No
27°C
$17,278 交易量
No
28°C
$23,820 交易量
Yes
29°C
$23,438 交易量
No
30°C
$17,804 交易量
No
31°C
$5,159 交易量
No
32°C
$2,876 交易量
No
33°C
$2,984 交易量
No
34°C or higher
$4,576 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent cooling after France's intense late-June heatwave is the main driver behind the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 26–28°C. Persistent high pressure and northeasterly flow that produced 37–40°C readings earlier in the week are weakening, allowing Atlantic maritime air and scattered thundershowers to moderate temperatures. Ensemble guidance from Météo-France and other models shows the highest uncertainty in the precise timing and strength of this transition over the next 48 hours, keeping probabilities for adjacent thresholds nearly even. Historical late-June variability and rapid model shifts in frontal passage or cloud cover add to the balanced sentiment, with resolution hinging on the official maximum recorded on June 29.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 27, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
交易量
$154,426結束日期
2026-06-29市場開放時間
Jun 27, 2026, 12:01 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent cooling after France's intense late-June heatwave is the main driver behind the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 26–28°C. Persistent high pressure and northeasterly flow that produced 37–40°C readings earlier in the week are weakening, allowing Atlantic maritime air and scattered thundershowers to moderate temperatures. Ensemble guidance from Météo-France and other models shows the highest uncertainty in the precise timing and strength of this transition over the next 48 hours, keeping probabilities for adjacent thresholds nearly even. Historical late-June variability and rapid model shifts in frontal passage or cloud cover add to the balanced sentiment, with resolution hinging on the official maximum recorded on June 29.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$154,426結束日期
2026-06-29市場開放時間
Jun 27, 2026, 12:01 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Recent cooling after France's intense late-June heatwave is the main driver behind the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 26–28°C. Persistent high pressure and northeasterly flow that produced 37–40°C readings earlier in the week are weakening, allowing Atlantic maritime air and scattered thundershowers to moderate temperatures. Ensemble guidance from Météo-France and other models shows the highest uncertainty in the precise timing and strength of this transition over the next 48 hours, keeping probabilities for adjacent thresholds nearly even. Historical late-June variability and rapid model shifts in frontal passage or cloud cover add to the balanced sentiment, with resolution hinging on the official maximum recorded on June 29.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions