Recent monsoon advancement over northern India is the main driver moderating Lucknow's July 1 maximum, with official IMD guidance and multiple models projecting increased cloud cover, humidity, and scattered showers that typically suppress peak temperatures by 3–6°C relative to late-June values near 40°C. Ensemble forecasts from AccuWeather and timeanddate place the daily high near 32–35°C, while climatological baselines for early July average 34°C; variability hinges on exact rainfall timing and steering patterns. Trader consensus reflected in the 41.5% probability for 34°C or higher versus 24.5% for exactly 32°C captures this uncertainty, as additional convective activity or delayed monsoon progression could still permit brief spikes above 34°C before resolution. Updated NWP runs over the next 48 hours will refine these bounds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月1日勒克瑙的最高溫度？
7月1日勒克瑙的最高溫度？
33°C 100.0%
24°C或以下 <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$111,378 交易量
$111,378 交易量
2026-07-01
24°C或以下
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C
否
33°C
是
34°C或更高
否
33°C 100.0%
24°C或以下 <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$111,378 交易量
$111,378 交易量
2026-07-01
24°C或以下
$7,086 交易量
否
25°C
$5,354 交易量
否
26°C
$1,750 交易量
否
27°C
$2,431 交易量
否
28°C
$26,261 交易量
否
29°C
$7,784 交易量
否
30°C
$14,422 交易量
否
31°C
$11,423 交易量
否
32°C
$14,946 交易量
否
33°C
$8,478 交易量
是
34°C或更高
$11,443 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent monsoon advancement over northern India is the main driver moderating Lucknow's July 1 maximum, with official IMD guidance and multiple models projecting increased cloud cover, humidity, and scattered showers that typically suppress peak temperatures by 3–6°C relative to late-June values near 40°C. Ensemble forecasts from AccuWeather and timeanddate place the daily high near 32–35°C, while climatological baselines for early July average 34°C; variability hinges on exact rainfall timing and steering patterns. Trader consensus reflected in the 41.5% probability for 34°C or higher versus 24.5% for exactly 32°C captures this uncertainty, as additional convective activity or delayed monsoon progression could still permit brief spikes above 34°C before resolution. Updated NWP runs over the next 48 hours will refine these bounds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 29, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
交易量
$111,378結束日期
2026-07-01市場開放時間
Jun 29, 2026, 1:02 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent monsoon advancement over northern India is the main driver moderating Lucknow's July 1 maximum, with official IMD guidance and multiple models projecting increased cloud cover, humidity, and scattered showers that typically suppress peak temperatures by 3–6°C relative to late-June values near 40°C. Ensemble forecasts from AccuWeather and timeanddate place the daily high near 32–35°C, while climatological baselines for early July average 34°C; variability hinges on exact rainfall timing and steering patterns. Trader consensus reflected in the 41.5% probability for 34°C or higher versus 24.5% for exactly 32°C captures this uncertainty, as additional convective activity or delayed monsoon progression could still permit brief spikes above 34°C before resolution. Updated NWP runs over the next 48 hours will refine these bounds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$111,378結束日期
2026-07-01市場開放時間
Jun 29, 2026, 1:02 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Recent monsoon advancement over northern India is the main driver moderating Lucknow's July 1 maximum, with official IMD guidance and multiple models projecting increased cloud cover, humidity, and scattered showers that typically suppress peak temperatures by 3–6°C relative to late-June values near 40°C. Ensemble forecasts from AccuWeather and timeanddate place the daily high near 32–35°C, while climatological baselines for early July average 34°C; variability hinges on exact rainfall timing and steering patterns. Trader consensus reflected in the 41.5% probability for 34°C or higher versus 24.5% for exactly 32°C captures this uncertainty, as additional convective activity or delayed monsoon progression could still permit brief spikes above 34°C before resolution. Updated NWP runs over the next 48 hours will refine these bounds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions