Traders have converged on a maximum temperature of exactly 33°C in Lucknow on July 31, driven by the latest India Meteorological Department forecast models that project daytime highs stabilizing near this threshold under persistent monsoon cloud cover and moderate humidity. Recent observational data from regional stations indicate typical July conditions, with rainfall and atmospheric moisture limiting solar heating and aligning closely with climatological baselines for the Gangetic plains. This market-implied odds reflect aggregated trader assessment of key variables such as wind patterns and convective activity, supported by real-capital incentives for accuracy. An unexpected clearing of skies or delayed precipitation could allow brief warming above 33°C, though current model consensus assigns low probability to such shifts before official resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月31日勒克瑙的最高溫度?
33°C 100.0%
26°C或以下 <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$26,483 交易量
$26,483 交易量
26°C或以下
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C
否
33°C
是
34°C
否
35°C
否
36°C或更高
否
33°C 100.0%
26°C或以下 <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$26,483 交易量
$26,483 交易量
26°C或以下
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C
否
33°C
是
34°C
否
35°C
否
36°C或更高
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jul 29, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Traders have converged on a maximum temperature of exactly 33°C in Lucknow on July 31, driven by the latest India Meteorological Department forecast models that project daytime highs stabilizing near this threshold under persistent monsoon cloud cover and moderate humidity. Recent observational data from regional stations indicate typical July conditions, with rainfall and atmospheric moisture limiting solar heating and aligning closely with climatological baselines for the Gangetic plains. This market-implied odds reflect aggregated trader assessment of key variables such as wind patterns and convective activity, supported by real-capital incentives for accuracy. An unexpected clearing of skies or delayed precipitation could allow brief warming above 33°C, though current model consensus assigns low probability to such shifts before official resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions