National Weather Service observations from New York City's Central Park station confirm a maximum temperature of 64°F on May 1, 2026, driving the market's 100% implied probability on the 64-65°F outcome as traders align with this verified measurement. A persistent cool upper-level trough over the Northeast suppressed warming, with cloudy skies, light winds, and below-normal daytime heating keeping highs well shy of the 68°F climatological average for early May. This reflects strong consensus from pre-event forecast models like GFS and ECMWF, which projected upper-50s to low-60s peaks. Realistic challenges would require a rare post hoc data correction by NOAA, such as sensor recalibration, though official records are typically final within 24 hours.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाHighest temperature in NYC on May 1?
Highest temperature in NYC on May 1?
64-65°F 100.0%
53°F or below <1%
54-55°F <1%
56-57°F <1%
$150,323 वॉल्यूम
$150,323 वॉल्यूम
1 मई, 2026
53°F or below
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
Yes
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72°F or higher
No
64-65°F 100.0%
53°F or below <1%
54-55°F <1%
56-57°F <1%
$150,323 वॉल्यूम
$150,323 वॉल्यूम
1 मई, 2026
53°F or below
$2,959 वॉल्यूम
No
54-55°F
$4,402 वॉल्यूम
No
56-57°F
$9,080 वॉल्यूम
No
58-59°F
$9,960 वॉल्यूम
No
60-61°F
$17,869 वॉल्यूम
No
62-63°F
$19,769 वॉल्यूम
No
64-65°F
$35,123 वॉल्यूम
Yes
66-67°F
$22,182 वॉल्यूम
No
68-69°F
$14,435 वॉल्यूम
No
70-71°F
$5,364 वॉल्यूम
No
72°F or higher
$9,179 वॉल्यूम
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service observations from New York City's Central Park station confirm a maximum temperature of 64°F on May 1, 2026, driving the market's 100% implied probability on the 64-65°F outcome as traders align with this verified measurement. A persistent cool upper-level trough over the Northeast suppressed warming, with cloudy skies, light winds, and below-normal daytime heating keeping highs well shy of the 68°F climatological average for early May. This reflects strong consensus from pre-event forecast models like GFS and ECMWF, which projected upper-50s to low-60s peaks. Realistic challenges would require a rare post hoc data correction by NOAA, such as sensor recalibration, though official records are typically final within 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 29, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$150,323समाप्ति तिथि
1 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 29, 2026, 12:06 AM ETपरिणाम प्रस्तावित: No
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service observations from New York City's Central Park station confirm a maximum temperature of 64°F on May 1, 2026, driving the market's 100% implied probability on the 64-65°F outcome as traders align with this verified measurement. A persistent cool upper-level trough over the Northeast suppressed warming, with cloudy skies, light winds, and below-normal daytime heating keeping highs well shy of the 68°F climatological average for early May. This reflects strong consensus from pre-event forecast models like GFS and ECMWF, which projected upper-50s to low-60s peaks. Realistic challenges would require a rare post hoc data correction by NOAA, such as sensor recalibration, though official records are typically final within 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$150,323समाप्ति तिथि
1 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 29, 2026, 12:06 AM ETपरिणाम प्रस्तावित: No
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: No
National Weather Service observations from New York City's Central Park station confirm a maximum temperature of 64°F on May 1, 2026, driving the market's 100% implied probability on the 64-65°F outcome as traders align with this verified measurement. A persistent cool upper-level trough over the Northeast suppressed warming, with cloudy skies, light winds, and below-normal daytime heating keeping highs well shy of the 68°F climatological average for early May. This reflects strong consensus from pre-event forecast models like GFS and ECMWF, which projected upper-50s to low-60s peaks. Realistic challenges would require a rare post hoc data correction by NOAA, such as sensor recalibration, though official records are typically final within 24 hours.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न