Recent ensemble forecasts from major models, including GFS and ECMWF, converge on a daily maximum near 26–28°C for Istanbul on July 5, 2026, driven by persistent high pressure, light northerly flow off the Black Sea, and mostly clear skies that moderate daytime heating. These conditions match typical early-July climatology, where average highs reach 27–28°C with low precipitation risk and limited warm advection. Slight model spread around this range, plus minor uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover, supports the market-implied concentration on 26°C (40.5%) and adjacent outcomes at 25–27°C. Updated runs over the next 48 hours, along with any shifts in regional pressure gradients, remain the key near-term catalysts that could adjust these probabilities.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया5 जुलाई को इस्तांबुल में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
5 जुलाई को इस्तांबुल में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
27°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$68,617 वॉल्यूम
$68,617 वॉल्यूम
5 जुल, 2026
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
27°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$68,617 वॉल्यूम
$68,617 वॉल्यूम
5 जुल, 2026
23°C or below
$4,318 वॉल्यूम
No
24°C
$3,898 वॉल्यूम
No
25°C
$15,807 वॉल्यूम
No
26°C
$13,329 वॉल्यूम
No
27°C
$11,442 वॉल्यूम
Yes
28°C
$4,286 वॉल्यूम
No
29°C
$4,179 वॉल्यूम
No
30°C
$3,859 वॉल्यूम
No
31°C
$2,586 वॉल्यूम
No
32°C
$2,433 वॉल्यूम
No
33°C or higher
$2,478 वॉल्यूम
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major models, including GFS and ECMWF, converge on a daily maximum near 26–28°C for Istanbul on July 5, 2026, driven by persistent high pressure, light northerly flow off the Black Sea, and mostly clear skies that moderate daytime heating. These conditions match typical early-July climatology, where average highs reach 27–28°C with low precipitation risk and limited warm advection. Slight model spread around this range, plus minor uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover, supports the market-implied concentration on 26°C (40.5%) and adjacent outcomes at 25–27°C. Updated runs over the next 48 hours, along with any shifts in regional pressure gradients, remain the key near-term catalysts that could adjust these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Jul 3, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$68,617समाप्ति तिथि
5 जुल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 3, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: No
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major models, including GFS and ECMWF, converge on a daily maximum near 26–28°C for Istanbul on July 5, 2026, driven by persistent high pressure, light northerly flow off the Black Sea, and mostly clear skies that moderate daytime heating. These conditions match typical early-July climatology, where average highs reach 27–28°C with low precipitation risk and limited warm advection. Slight model spread around this range, plus minor uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover, supports the market-implied concentration on 26°C (40.5%) and adjacent outcomes at 25–27°C. Updated runs over the next 48 hours, along with any shifts in regional pressure gradients, remain the key near-term catalysts that could adjust these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$68,617समाप्ति तिथि
5 जुल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 3, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: No
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: No
Recent ensemble forecasts from major models, including GFS and ECMWF, converge on a daily maximum near 26–28°C for Istanbul on July 5, 2026, driven by persistent high pressure, light northerly flow off the Black Sea, and mostly clear skies that moderate daytime heating. These conditions match typical early-July climatology, where average highs reach 27–28°C with low precipitation risk and limited warm advection. Slight model spread around this range, plus minor uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover, supports the market-implied concentration on 26°C (40.5%) and adjacent outcomes at 25–27°C. Updated runs over the next 48 hours, along with any shifts in regional pressure gradients, remain the key near-term catalysts that could adjust these probabilities.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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