Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and European models show the primary driver of trader sentiment as uncertainty in peak afternoon temperatures for Paris on August 1 amid an ongoing European heat wave. High-pressure dominance and southerly flow support values near seasonal norms plus 3–6°C, yet model spread on cloud cover, timing of any seabreeze influence, and urban heat island amplification keeps 28°C and 29°C nearly tied at market-implied odds of 33% and 34%. Resolution hinges on the official Météo-France maximum recorded at standard stations, with fresh model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours likely to narrow the distribution around the 28–30°C cluster.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया1 अगस्त को पेरिस में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
28°C 39%
29°C 37%
30°C 15%
27°C 10%
25°C or below
2%
26°C
5%
27°C
10%
28°C
39%
29°C
37%
30°C
15%
31°C
7%
32°C
3%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
28°C 39%
29°C 37%
30°C 15%
27°C 10%
25°C or below
2%
26°C
5%
27°C
10%
28°C
39%
29°C
37%
30°C
15%
31°C
7%
32°C
3%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Jul 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and European models show the primary driver of trader sentiment as uncertainty in peak afternoon temperatures for Paris on August 1 amid an ongoing European heat wave. High-pressure dominance and southerly flow support values near seasonal norms plus 3–6°C, yet model spread on cloud cover, timing of any seabreeze influence, and urban heat island amplification keeps 28°C and 29°C nearly tied at market-implied odds of 33% and 34%. Resolution hinges on the official Météo-France maximum recorded at standard stations, with fresh model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours likely to narrow the distribution around the 28–30°C cluster.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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