Recent Met Office and ensemble model guidance points to an overnight low near 18°C in central London on August 3, 2026, establishing that bin as the clear market leader with roughly 48% implied probability. Milder-than-average conditions stem from above-normal sea-surface temperatures in the North Sea and English Channel, combined with a southerly flow that limits nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light winds. Historical early-August climatology shows typical minima around 14–15°C, but current guidance remains several degrees warmer, narrowing the distribution and elevating the 17°C and 19°C outcomes to secondary status. Traders are monitoring the final 12–24-hour model updates for any shift in cloud cover or wind speed that could alter the minimum by 1–2°C before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया3 अगस्त को लंदन में सबसे कम तापमान?
3 अगस्त को लंदन में सबसे कम तापमान?
18°C 48%
17°C 25%
19°C 18%
20°C 3%
नया
नया
3 अग, 2026
14°C या उससे कम
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
25%
18°C
48%
19°C
22%
20°C
3%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C या अधिक
<1%
18°C 48%
17°C 25%
19°C 18%
20°C 3%
नया
नया
3 अग, 2026
14°C या उससे कम
$1,143 वॉल्यूम
1%
15°C
$650 वॉल्यूम
1%
16°C
$150 वॉल्यूम
2%
17°C
$514 वॉल्यूम
25%
18°C
$352 वॉल्यूम
48%
19°C
$547 वॉल्यूम
22%
20°C
$102 वॉल्यूम
3%
21°C
$869 वॉल्यूम
<1%
22°C
$531 वॉल्यूम
1%
23°C
$750 वॉल्यूम
<1%
24°C या अधिक
$207 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and ensemble model guidance points to an overnight low near 18°C in central London on August 3, 2026, establishing that bin as the clear market leader with roughly 48% implied probability. Milder-than-average conditions stem from above-normal sea-surface temperatures in the North Sea and English Channel, combined with a southerly flow that limits nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light winds. Historical early-August climatology shows typical minima around 14–15°C, but current guidance remains several degrees warmer, narrowing the distribution and elevating the 17°C and 19°C outcomes to secondary status. Traders are monitoring the final 12–24-hour model updates for any shift in cloud cover or wind speed that could alter the minimum by 1–2°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$5,814समाप्ति तिथि
3 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and ensemble model guidance points to an overnight low near 18°C in central London on August 3, 2026, establishing that bin as the clear market leader with roughly 48% implied probability. Milder-than-average conditions stem from above-normal sea-surface temperatures in the North Sea and English Channel, combined with a southerly flow that limits nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light winds. Historical early-August climatology shows typical minima around 14–15°C, but current guidance remains several degrees warmer, narrowing the distribution and elevating the 17°C and 19°C outcomes to secondary status. Traders are monitoring the final 12–24-hour model updates for any shift in cloud cover or wind speed that could alter the minimum by 1–2°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$5,814समाप्ति तिथि
3 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office and ensemble model guidance points to an overnight low near 18°C in central London on August 3, 2026, establishing that bin as the clear market leader with roughly 48% implied probability. Milder-than-average conditions stem from above-normal sea-surface temperatures in the North Sea and English Channel, combined with a southerly flow that limits nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light winds. Historical early-August climatology shows typical minima around 14–15°C, but current guidance remains several degrees warmer, narrowing the distribution and elevating the 17°C and 19°C outcomes to secondary status. Traders are monitoring the final 12–24-hour model updates for any shift in cloud cover or wind speed that could alter the minimum by 1–2°C before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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