Recent summer 2026 forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate above-normal temperatures across Japan through August, driven by a strengthened Pacific High promoting subsidence and clear skies over Tokyo. This setup supports daytime highs typically reaching 31–35°C amid high humidity, consistent with AccuWeather projections of 28–37°C ranges for the month and historical August averages near 31°C. With only days until August 2, short-term model runs show modest day-to-day variability from cloud cover or sea breezes that could cap or boost the peak by 1–2°C, explaining the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 34–35°C. Updated JMA guidance and ensemble forecasts in the coming 48 hours will likely refine the exact maximum.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया2 अगस्त को टोक्यो में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
2 अगस्त को टोक्यो में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
34°C 34%
35°C 30%
36°C 19%
33°C 14%
नया
नया
2 अग, 2026
30°C or below
1%
31°C
3%
32°C
9%
33°C
14%
34°C
34%
35°C
30%
36°C
19%
37°C
4%
38°C
3%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
34°C 34%
35°C 30%
36°C 19%
33°C 14%
नया
नया
2 अग, 2026
30°C or below
$241 वॉल्यूम
1%
31°C
$116 वॉल्यूम
3%
32°C
$23 वॉल्यूम
9%
33°C
$83 वॉल्यूम
14%
34°C
$117 वॉल्यूम
34%
35°C
$114 वॉल्यूम
30%
36°C
$58 वॉल्यूम
19%
37°C
$20 वॉल्यूम
4%
38°C
$79 वॉल्यूम
3%
39°C
$163 वॉल्यूम
<1%
40°C or higher
$306 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent summer 2026 forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate above-normal temperatures across Japan through August, driven by a strengthened Pacific High promoting subsidence and clear skies over Tokyo. This setup supports daytime highs typically reaching 31–35°C amid high humidity, consistent with AccuWeather projections of 28–37°C ranges for the month and historical August averages near 31°C. With only days until August 2, short-term model runs show modest day-to-day variability from cloud cover or sea breezes that could cap or boost the peak by 1–2°C, explaining the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 34–35°C. Updated JMA guidance and ensemble forecasts in the coming 48 hours will likely refine the exact maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Jul 31, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$1,321समाप्ति तिथि
2 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 31, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent summer 2026 forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate above-normal temperatures across Japan through August, driven by a strengthened Pacific High promoting subsidence and clear skies over Tokyo. This setup supports daytime highs typically reaching 31–35°C amid high humidity, consistent with AccuWeather projections of 28–37°C ranges for the month and historical August averages near 31°C. With only days until August 2, short-term model runs show modest day-to-day variability from cloud cover or sea breezes that could cap or boost the peak by 1–2°C, explaining the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 34–35°C. Updated JMA guidance and ensemble forecasts in the coming 48 hours will likely refine the exact maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$1,321समाप्ति तिथि
2 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 31, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent summer 2026 forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate above-normal temperatures across Japan through August, driven by a strengthened Pacific High promoting subsidence and clear skies over Tokyo. This setup supports daytime highs typically reaching 31–35°C amid high humidity, consistent with AccuWeather projections of 28–37°C ranges for the month and historical August averages near 31°C. With only days until August 2, short-term model runs show modest day-to-day variability from cloud cover or sea breezes that could cap or boost the peak by 1–2°C, explaining the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 34–35°C. Updated JMA guidance and ensemble forecasts in the coming 48 hours will likely refine the exact maximum.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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