Recent short-range guidance from ECMWF and KNMI ensembles supports daily maxima near 25–26 °C in Amsterdam on August 2, driving the market’s tight clustering at those levels with combined implied probability exceeding 59 %. Moderate westerly flow and persistent North Sea marine air limit strong diurnal warming, while variable cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing introduce 1–2 °C uncertainty that traders price through small probability shifts across adjacent bins. This range sits slightly above early-August climatology of 22–23 °C, reflecting modest high-pressure influence without major heat advection. Updated model runs and KNMI briefings expected within 24 hours will refine the peak and potentially move the 26 °C contract.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया2 अगस्त को एम्स्टर्डम में सबसे ज़्यादा तापमान?
2 अगस्त को एम्स्टर्डम में सबसे ज़्यादा तापमान?
26°C 37%
25°C 30%
27°C 17%
24°C 9%
नया
नया
2 अग, 2026
21°C या उससे कम
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
4%
24°C
9%
25°C
30%
26°C
37%
27°C
17%
28°C
3%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C या उससे अधिक
1%
26°C 37%
25°C 30%
27°C 17%
24°C 9%
नया
नया
2 अग, 2026
21°C या उससे कम
$10 वॉल्यूम
1%
22°C
$76 वॉल्यूम
1%
23°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
4%
24°C
$40 वॉल्यूम
9%
25°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
30%
26°C
$32 वॉल्यूम
37%
27°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
17%
28°C
$5 वॉल्यूम
3%
29°C
$20 वॉल्यूम
1%
30°C
$33 वॉल्यूम
1%
31°C या उससे अधिक
$10 वॉल्यूम
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range guidance from ECMWF and KNMI ensembles supports daily maxima near 25–26 °C in Amsterdam on August 2, driving the market’s tight clustering at those levels with combined implied probability exceeding 59 %. Moderate westerly flow and persistent North Sea marine air limit strong diurnal warming, while variable cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing introduce 1–2 °C uncertainty that traders price through small probability shifts across adjacent bins. This range sits slightly above early-August climatology of 22–23 °C, reflecting modest high-pressure influence without major heat advection. Updated model runs and KNMI briefings expected within 24 hours will refine the peak and potentially move the 26 °C contract.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Jul 31, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$226समाप्ति तिथि
2 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 31, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range guidance from ECMWF and KNMI ensembles supports daily maxima near 25–26 °C in Amsterdam on August 2, driving the market’s tight clustering at those levels with combined implied probability exceeding 59 %. Moderate westerly flow and persistent North Sea marine air limit strong diurnal warming, while variable cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing introduce 1–2 °C uncertainty that traders price through small probability shifts across adjacent bins. This range sits slightly above early-August climatology of 22–23 °C, reflecting modest high-pressure influence without major heat advection. Updated model runs and KNMI briefings expected within 24 hours will refine the peak and potentially move the 26 °C contract.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$226समाप्ति तिथि
2 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 31, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range guidance from ECMWF and KNMI ensembles supports daily maxima near 25–26 °C in Amsterdam on August 2, driving the market’s tight clustering at those levels with combined implied probability exceeding 59 %. Moderate westerly flow and persistent North Sea marine air limit strong diurnal warming, while variable cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing introduce 1–2 °C uncertainty that traders price through small probability shifts across adjacent bins. This range sits slightly above early-August climatology of 22–23 °C, reflecting modest high-pressure influence without major heat advection. Updated model runs and KNMI briefings expected within 24 hours will refine the peak and potentially move the 26 °C contract.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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