Current forecast guidance for São Paulo points to a maximum of 26–27°C on August 3, positioning these as the market leaders at 41% and 28.5% implied probability. Winter high-pressure systems over southeastern Brazil, combined with dry conditions and limited cloud cover, are supporting daytime warming above the long-term August average of 23–25°C. An ongoing El Niño episode is contributing to above-normal temperatures across the region, though model consensus remains sensitive to small shifts in wind patterns or boundary-layer moisture. Traders are monitoring the next National Meteorological Institute updates and regional model runs for any revisions ahead of resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया3 अगस्त को साओ पाउलो में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
26°C 41%
27°C 29%
25°C 16%
28°C 10%
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
6%
25°C
16%
26°C
41%
27°C
29%
28°C
10%
29°C
1%
30°C or higher
<1%
26°C 41%
27°C 29%
25°C 16%
28°C 10%
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
6%
25°C
16%
26°C
41%
27°C
29%
28°C
10%
29°C
1%
30°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 1, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast guidance for São Paulo points to a maximum of 26–27°C on August 3, positioning these as the market leaders at 41% and 28.5% implied probability. Winter high-pressure systems over southeastern Brazil, combined with dry conditions and limited cloud cover, are supporting daytime warming above the long-term August average of 23–25°C. An ongoing El Niño episode is contributing to above-normal temperatures across the region, though model consensus remains sensitive to small shifts in wind patterns or boundary-layer moisture. Traders are monitoring the next National Meteorological Institute updates and regional model runs for any revisions ahead of resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया

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