Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and extended models indicate mostly cloudy skies over Tokyo on August 4, 2026, with daytime highs near 28–29°C and overnight minimums expected around 22–23°C. Persistent cloud cover and elevated humidity from the summer monsoon pattern limit radiational cooling after sunset, while light winds and the urban heat island effect anchor nighttime temperatures near historical baselines slightly above the long-term average. Model consensus shows limited spread in low-level moisture and steering flow, creating tight clustering around 22–23°C as the most probable minimum; minor shifts in frontal timing or convective activity could easily push readings one degree lower or higher. Updated JMA guidance and regional ensemble runs in the next 24–48 hours will refine these variables ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया4 अगस्त को टोक्यो में सबसे कम तापमान?
22°C 39%
23°C 39%
21°C 11%
24°C 10%
17°C या उससे कम
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
6%
20°C
9%
21°C
11%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
10%
25°C
9%
26°C
10%
27°C या उससे अधिक
1%
22°C 39%
23°C 39%
21°C 11%
24°C 10%
17°C या उससे कम
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
6%
20°C
9%
21°C
11%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
10%
25°C
9%
26°C
10%
27°C या उससे अधिक
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and extended models indicate mostly cloudy skies over Tokyo on August 4, 2026, with daytime highs near 28–29°C and overnight minimums expected around 22–23°C. Persistent cloud cover and elevated humidity from the summer monsoon pattern limit radiational cooling after sunset, while light winds and the urban heat island effect anchor nighttime temperatures near historical baselines slightly above the long-term average. Model consensus shows limited spread in low-level moisture and steering flow, creating tight clustering around 22–23°C as the most probable minimum; minor shifts in frontal timing or convective activity could easily push readings one degree lower or higher. Updated JMA guidance and regional ensemble runs in the next 24–48 hours will refine these variables ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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