Recent meteorological guidance from ensemble models positions Wuhan's August 4 peak near 36–37 °C amid typical subtropical monsoon conditions, with high humidity and weak steering flow favoring afternoon maxima around 34–36 °C under partly cloudy skies and isolated thunderstorms. The tight clustering of market-implied odds on 36–38 °C reflects uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and convective timing, which can shave 1–2 °C from peaks via evaporative cooling, versus clearer scenarios allowing brief spikes toward 38 °C. Official China Meteorological Administration updates and next 48-hour model runs will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया4 अगस्त को वुहान में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
37°C 32%
38°C 27%
36°C 21%
35°C 13%
32°C या उससे कम
1%
33°C
2%
34°C
11%
35°C
13%
36°C
21%
37°C
32%
38°C
27%
39°C
6%
40°C
5%
41°C
1%
42°C या उससे अधिक
2%
37°C 32%
38°C 27%
36°C 21%
35°C 13%
32°C या उससे कम
1%
33°C
2%
34°C
11%
35°C
13%
36°C
21%
37°C
32%
38°C
27%
39°C
6%
40°C
5%
41°C
1%
42°C या उससे अधिक
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 2, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological guidance from ensemble models positions Wuhan's August 4 peak near 36–37 °C amid typical subtropical monsoon conditions, with high humidity and weak steering flow favoring afternoon maxima around 34–36 °C under partly cloudy skies and isolated thunderstorms. The tight clustering of market-implied odds on 36–38 °C reflects uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and convective timing, which can shave 1–2 °C from peaks via evaporative cooling, versus clearer scenarios allowing brief spikes toward 38 °C. Official China Meteorological Administration updates and next 48-hour model runs will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया


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