**Forecast variability across numerical weather models drives the tight clustering between 34°C (37.5%) and 35°C (33.0%) implied probabilities.** Recent days have seen maxima near 37–38°C under a strong subtropical high with clear skies and light winds, but updated runs for August 4 indicate possible modest increases in cloud cover or isolated showers that could cap the daily high slightly lower. Shanghai’s urban heat island effect and high humidity typical of the East Asian summer monsoon add sensitivity to small changes in insolation and boundary-layer mixing. Official monitoring from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will resolve the exact maximum recorded at standard stations, with traders weighting ensemble consensus and local model bias when assigning near-even odds between the two leading outcomes.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया4 अगस्त को शंघाई में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
4 अगस्त को शंघाई में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
34°C 37%
35°C 33%
33°C 18%
36°C 11%
नया
नया
4 अग, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
2%
32°C
5%
33°C
18%
34°C
37%
35°C
33%
36°C
11%
37°C
2%
38°C
4%
39°C या उससे अधिक
<1%
34°C 37%
35°C 33%
33°C 18%
36°C 11%
नया
नया
4 अग, 2026
29°C or below
$12 वॉल्यूम
<1%
30°C
$104 वॉल्यूम
2%
31°C
$61 वॉल्यूम
2%
32°C
$197 वॉल्यूम
5%
33°C
$204 वॉल्यूम
18%
34°C
$128 वॉल्यूम
37%
35°C
$411 वॉल्यूम
33%
36°C
$86 वॉल्यूम
11%
37°C
$41 वॉल्यूम
2%
38°C
$125 वॉल्यूम
4%
39°C या उससे अधिक
$20 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast variability across numerical weather models drives the tight clustering between 34°C (37.5%) and 35°C (33.0%) implied probabilities.** Recent days have seen maxima near 37–38°C under a strong subtropical high with clear skies and light winds, but updated runs for August 4 indicate possible modest increases in cloud cover or isolated showers that could cap the daily high slightly lower. Shanghai’s urban heat island effect and high humidity typical of the East Asian summer monsoon add sensitivity to small changes in insolation and boundary-layer mixing. Official monitoring from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will resolve the exact maximum recorded at standard stations, with traders weighting ensemble consensus and local model bias when assigning near-even odds between the two leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 2, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$1,390समाप्ति तिथि
4 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 2, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast variability across numerical weather models drives the tight clustering between 34°C (37.5%) and 35°C (33.0%) implied probabilities.** Recent days have seen maxima near 37–38°C under a strong subtropical high with clear skies and light winds, but updated runs for August 4 indicate possible modest increases in cloud cover or isolated showers that could cap the daily high slightly lower. Shanghai’s urban heat island effect and high humidity typical of the East Asian summer monsoon add sensitivity to small changes in insolation and boundary-layer mixing. Official monitoring from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will resolve the exact maximum recorded at standard stations, with traders weighting ensemble consensus and local model bias when assigning near-even odds between the two leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$1,390समाप्ति तिथि
4 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 2, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast variability across numerical weather models drives the tight clustering between 34°C (37.5%) and 35°C (33.0%) implied probabilities.** Recent days have seen maxima near 37–38°C under a strong subtropical high with clear skies and light winds, but updated runs for August 4 indicate possible modest increases in cloud cover or isolated showers that could cap the daily high slightly lower. Shanghai’s urban heat island effect and high humidity typical of the East Asian summer monsoon add sensitivity to small changes in insolation and boundary-layer mixing. Official monitoring from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will resolve the exact maximum recorded at standard stations, with traders weighting ensemble consensus and local model bias when assigning near-even odds between the two leading outcomes.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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