Traders see the highest temperature in Shanghai on August 3 as most likely 34–35 °C because short-range model consensus from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and China Meteorological Administration places daytime maxima in that narrow band under typical early-August subtropical conditions. The Yangtze River Delta’s urban heat island, combined with light southerly flow and limited cloud cover, supports peak readings near or slightly above the 34 °C climatological normal, while any increase in monsoon moisture or onshore breeze could cap the high at 33 °C. Ensemble spread remains modest, keeping 36 °C or higher at low probability unless a stronger high-pressure ridge builds. Updated model runs and official guidance issued in the next 24–48 hours will narrow the outcome range ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया3 अगस्त को शंघाई में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
35°C 39%
34°C 33%
33°C 18%
36°C 12%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
3%
33°C
18%
34°C
33%
35°C
39%
36°C
12%
37°C
1%
38°C
2%
39°C or higher
1%
35°C 39%
34°C 33%
33°C 18%
36°C 12%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
3%
33°C
18%
34°C
33%
35°C
39%
36°C
12%
37°C
1%
38°C
2%
39°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see the highest temperature in Shanghai on August 3 as most likely 34–35 °C because short-range model consensus from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and China Meteorological Administration places daytime maxima in that narrow band under typical early-August subtropical conditions. The Yangtze River Delta’s urban heat island, combined with light southerly flow and limited cloud cover, supports peak readings near or slightly above the 34 °C climatological normal, while any increase in monsoon moisture or onshore breeze could cap the high at 33 °C. Ensemble spread remains modest, keeping 36 °C or higher at low probability unless a stronger high-pressure ridge builds. Updated model runs and official guidance issued in the next 24–48 hours will narrow the outcome range ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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