Trader consensus for Shanghai’s August 1 highest temperature centers on 36–37 °C, driven by short-range ensemble forecasts showing a tight spread amid persistent subtropical high pressure and regional heat. Shanghai’s humid subtropical climate typically yields August daytime maxima near 32 °C, yet recent late-July observations above 38 °C, combined with urban heat-island amplification and long-term warming of roughly 1.9 °C per century, support elevated outcomes. Model divergence in low-level moisture and steering winds creates the narrow probability gap between 36 °C (37.5 %) and 37 °C (28.5 %), while China Meteorological Administration guidance and updated numerical runs over the next 48 hours will likely clarify whether conditions trend toward the upper or lower end of the 34–38 °C range.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया1 अगस्त को शंघाई में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
1 अगस्त को शंघाई में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
36°C 39%
37°C 31%
35°C 20%
38°C 10%
नया
नया
1 अग, 2026
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
2%
34°C
4%
35°C
20%
36°C
39%
37°C
31%
38°C
10%
39°C
4%
40°C
2%
41°C or higher
<1%
36°C 39%
37°C 31%
35°C 20%
38°C 10%
नया
नया
1 अग, 2026
31°C or below
$24 वॉल्यूम
<1%
32°C
$10 वॉल्यूम
1%
33°C
$48 वॉल्यूम
2%
34°C
$220 वॉल्यूम
4%
35°C
$66 वॉल्यूम
20%
36°C
$102 वॉल्यूम
39%
37°C
$78 वॉल्यूम
31%
38°C
$107 वॉल्यूम
10%
39°C
$47 वॉल्यूम
4%
40°C
$61 वॉल्यूम
2%
41°C or higher
$15 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus for Shanghai’s August 1 highest temperature centers on 36–37 °C, driven by short-range ensemble forecasts showing a tight spread amid persistent subtropical high pressure and regional heat. Shanghai’s humid subtropical climate typically yields August daytime maxima near 32 °C, yet recent late-July observations above 38 °C, combined with urban heat-island amplification and long-term warming of roughly 1.9 °C per century, support elevated outcomes. Model divergence in low-level moisture and steering winds creates the narrow probability gap between 36 °C (37.5 %) and 37 °C (28.5 %), while China Meteorological Administration guidance and updated numerical runs over the next 48 hours will likely clarify whether conditions trend toward the upper or lower end of the 34–38 °C range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Jul 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$777समाप्ति तिथि
1 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus for Shanghai’s August 1 highest temperature centers on 36–37 °C, driven by short-range ensemble forecasts showing a tight spread amid persistent subtropical high pressure and regional heat. Shanghai’s humid subtropical climate typically yields August daytime maxima near 32 °C, yet recent late-July observations above 38 °C, combined with urban heat-island amplification and long-term warming of roughly 1.9 °C per century, support elevated outcomes. Model divergence in low-level moisture and steering winds creates the narrow probability gap between 36 °C (37.5 %) and 37 °C (28.5 %), while China Meteorological Administration guidance and updated numerical runs over the next 48 hours will likely clarify whether conditions trend toward the upper or lower end of the 34–38 °C range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$777समाप्ति तिथि
1 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus for Shanghai’s August 1 highest temperature centers on 36–37 °C, driven by short-range ensemble forecasts showing a tight spread amid persistent subtropical high pressure and regional heat. Shanghai’s humid subtropical climate typically yields August daytime maxima near 32 °C, yet recent late-July observations above 38 °C, combined with urban heat-island amplification and long-term warming of roughly 1.9 °C per century, support elevated outcomes. Model divergence in low-level moisture and steering winds creates the narrow probability gap between 36 °C (37.5 %) and 37 °C (28.5 %), while China Meteorological Administration guidance and updated numerical runs over the next 48 hours will likely clarify whether conditions trend toward the upper or lower end of the 34–38 °C range.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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