Traders see the highest temperature in Panama City on July 28 clustering tightly around 31–33°C because short-range ensemble forecasts from global models show modest spread driven by variable afternoon convection and cloud cover typical of Panama’s July wet season. Current steering patterns and sea-surface temperatures near 28–29°C support daytime maxima in this range, while differences in boundary-layer moisture and timing of showers create the narrow gap between the top two outcomes. With resolution based on official meteorological observations, the market-implied odds reflect uncertainty in exactly how much insolation reaches the surface tomorrow rather than any major shift in the large-scale pattern. New model runs and satellite updates over the next 24 hours remain the key variables that could tilt the distribution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Panama City on July 28?
Highest temperature in Panama City on July 28?
33°C 45%
32°C 38%
31°C 13%
34°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Jul 28, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
13%
32°C
38%
33°C
45%
34°C
6%
35°C
2%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
33°C 45%
32°C 38%
31°C 13%
34°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Jul 28, 2026
27°C or below
$582 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$262 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$243 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$364 Vol.
2%
31°C
$523 Vol.
13%
32°C
$383 Vol.
38%
33°C
$4,209 Vol.
45%
34°C
$572 Vol.
6%
35°C
$333 Vol.
2%
36°C
$223 Vol.
<1%
37°C or higher
$215 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the highest temperature in Panama City on July 28 clustering tightly around 31–33°C because short-range ensemble forecasts from global models show modest spread driven by variable afternoon convection and cloud cover typical of Panama’s July wet season. Current steering patterns and sea-surface temperatures near 28–29°C support daytime maxima in this range, while differences in boundary-layer moisture and timing of showers create the narrow gap between the top two outcomes. With resolution based on official meteorological observations, the market-implied odds reflect uncertainty in exactly how much insolation reaches the surface tomorrow rather than any major shift in the large-scale pattern. New model runs and satellite updates over the next 24 hours remain the key variables that could tilt the distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 26, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
Volume
$7,910End Date
Jul 28, 2026Market Opened
Jul 26, 2026, 9:05 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the highest temperature in Panama City on July 28 clustering tightly around 31–33°C because short-range ensemble forecasts from global models show modest spread driven by variable afternoon convection and cloud cover typical of Panama’s July wet season. Current steering patterns and sea-surface temperatures near 28–29°C support daytime maxima in this range, while differences in boundary-layer moisture and timing of showers create the narrow gap between the top two outcomes. With resolution based on official meteorological observations, the market-implied odds reflect uncertainty in exactly how much insolation reaches the surface tomorrow rather than any major shift in the large-scale pattern. New model runs and satellite updates over the next 24 hours remain the key variables that could tilt the distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,910End Date
Jul 28, 2026Market Opened
Jul 26, 2026, 9:05 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see the highest temperature in Panama City on July 28 clustering tightly around 31–33°C because short-range ensemble forecasts from global models show modest spread driven by variable afternoon convection and cloud cover typical of Panama’s July wet season. Current steering patterns and sea-surface temperatures near 28–29°C support daytime maxima in this range, while differences in boundary-layer moisture and timing of showers create the narrow gap between the top two outcomes. With resolution based on official meteorological observations, the market-implied odds reflect uncertainty in exactly how much insolation reaches the surface tomorrow rather than any major shift in the large-scale pattern. New model runs and satellite updates over the next 24 hours remain the key variables that could tilt the distribution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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