Latest meteorological forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and international models such as the Met Office project a daily maximum of 30°C in Qingdao on June 13 under sunny conditions with light southerly winds moderating coastal influences. This consensus, reinforced by recent observational trends and high-pressure patterns over the Yellow Sea region, underpins the market's near-certain 99.8% implied probability for the 30°C outcome. Historical June averages hover near 24–26°C, making the current setup an above-normal but well-supported peak. Shifts in cloud cover, revised model runs overnight, or localized measurement differences at the official station could still alter the recorded high before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Qingdao on June 13?
30°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$33,914 Vol.
$33,914 Vol.
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C or higher
No
30°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$33,914 Vol.
$33,914 Vol.
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 11, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Latest meteorological forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and international models such as the Met Office project a daily maximum of 30°C in Qingdao on June 13 under sunny conditions with light southerly winds moderating coastal influences. This consensus, reinforced by recent observational trends and high-pressure patterns over the Yellow Sea region, underpins the market's near-certain 99.8% implied probability for the 30°C outcome. Historical June averages hover near 24–26°C, making the current setup an above-normal but well-supported peak. Shifts in cloud cover, revised model runs overnight, or localized measurement differences at the official station could still alter the recorded high before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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