Latest KMA and global model consensus for Seoul on June 23 points to a mostly cloudy day with daytime highs near 29°C, keeping implied probabilities tightly clustered around 27–29°C. Recent heat-wave advisories issued mid-June reflect building high pressure and warming trends, yet increasing cloud cover and possible early Changma moisture could cap afternoon maxima below historical June averages of 26–28°C. Model spreads arise mainly from variable low-level humidity and weak steering flows that may enhance or suppress insolation. Updated short-range guidance and any revised KMA briefings in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Seoul on June 23?
Highest temperature in Seoul on June 23?
30°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$158,303 Vol.
$158,303 Vol.
Jun 23, 2026
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C or higher
No
30°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$158,303 Vol.
$158,303 Vol.
Jun 23, 2026
21°C or below
$2,145 Vol.
No
22°C
$2,462 Vol.
No
23°C
$2,110 Vol.
No
24°C
$2,610 Vol.
No
25°C
$3,526 Vol.
No
26°C
$11,421 Vol.
No
27°C
$14,216 Vol.
No
28°C
$17,650 Vol.
No
29°C
$27,227 Vol.
No
30°C
$46,525 Vol.
Yes
31°C or higher
$28,411 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest KMA and global model consensus for Seoul on June 23 points to a mostly cloudy day with daytime highs near 29°C, keeping implied probabilities tightly clustered around 27–29°C. Recent heat-wave advisories issued mid-June reflect building high pressure and warming trends, yet increasing cloud cover and possible early Changma moisture could cap afternoon maxima below historical June averages of 26–28°C. Model spreads arise mainly from variable low-level humidity and weak steering flows that may enhance or suppress insolation. Updated short-range guidance and any revised KMA briefings in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 21, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$158,303End Date
Jun 23, 2026Market Opened
Jun 21, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest KMA and global model consensus for Seoul on June 23 points to a mostly cloudy day with daytime highs near 29°C, keeping implied probabilities tightly clustered around 27–29°C. Recent heat-wave advisories issued mid-June reflect building high pressure and warming trends, yet increasing cloud cover and possible early Changma moisture could cap afternoon maxima below historical June averages of 26–28°C. Model spreads arise mainly from variable low-level humidity and weak steering flows that may enhance or suppress insolation. Updated short-range guidance and any revised KMA briefings in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$158,303End Date
Jun 23, 2026Market Opened
Jun 21, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Latest KMA and global model consensus for Seoul on June 23 points to a mostly cloudy day with daytime highs near 29°C, keeping implied probabilities tightly clustered around 27–29°C. Recent heat-wave advisories issued mid-June reflect building high pressure and warming trends, yet increasing cloud cover and possible early Changma moisture could cap afternoon maxima below historical June averages of 26–28°C. Model spreads arise mainly from variable low-level humidity and weak steering flows that may enhance or suppress insolation. Updated short-range guidance and any revised KMA briefings in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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