Official National Environment Agency (NEA) observations from the Changi Meteorological Station confirm Singapore's highest temperature reached exactly 33°C on May 3, 2026, driving the 100% market-implied probability for this outcome. Amid inter-monsoon conditions with light winds and frequent afternoon thundery showers, cloud cover and precipitation capped daytime heating despite pre-event forecasts of 33–35°C daily maximums from NEA's fortnightly outlook. This aligns with May climatology, where Changi highs typically average 31–33°C. With data now finalized per NEA protocols, trader consensus reflects virtual certainty; only an improbable post hoc revision from quality control—such as a late-recorded sensor reading—could challenge it, though historical precedents show such adjustments are rare below 0.1°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Singapore on May 3?
Highest temperature in Singapore on May 3?
33°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$105,507 Vol.
$105,507 Vol.
May 3, 2026
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$105,507 Vol.
$105,507 Vol.
May 3, 2026
25°C or below
$4,065 Vol.
No
26°C
$3,626 Vol.
No
27°C
$2,957 Vol.
No
28°C
$2,623 Vol.
No
29°C
$18,006 Vol.
No
30°C
$8,198 Vol.
No
31°C
$8,550 Vol.
No
32°C
$20,689 Vol.
No
33°C
$14,248 Vol.
Yes
34°C
$13,784 Vol.
No
35°C or higher
$8,762 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Environment Agency (NEA) observations from the Changi Meteorological Station confirm Singapore's highest temperature reached exactly 33°C on May 3, 2026, driving the 100% market-implied probability for this outcome. Amid inter-monsoon conditions with light winds and frequent afternoon thundery showers, cloud cover and precipitation capped daytime heating despite pre-event forecasts of 33–35°C daily maximums from NEA's fortnightly outlook. This aligns with May climatology, where Changi highs typically average 31–33°C. With data now finalized per NEA protocols, trader consensus reflects virtual certainty; only an improbable post hoc revision from quality control—such as a late-recorded sensor reading—could challenge it, though historical precedents show such adjustments are rare below 0.1°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 1, 2026, 12:14 AM ET
Volume
$105,507End Date
May 3, 2026Market Opened
May 1, 2026, 12:14 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Environment Agency (NEA) observations from the Changi Meteorological Station confirm Singapore's highest temperature reached exactly 33°C on May 3, 2026, driving the 100% market-implied probability for this outcome. Amid inter-monsoon conditions with light winds and frequent afternoon thundery showers, cloud cover and precipitation capped daytime heating despite pre-event forecasts of 33–35°C daily maximums from NEA's fortnightly outlook. This aligns with May climatology, where Changi highs typically average 31–33°C. With data now finalized per NEA protocols, trader consensus reflects virtual certainty; only an improbable post hoc revision from quality control—such as a late-recorded sensor reading—could challenge it, though historical precedents show such adjustments are rare below 0.1°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$105,507End Date
May 3, 2026Market Opened
May 1, 2026, 12:14 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official National Environment Agency (NEA) observations from the Changi Meteorological Station confirm Singapore's highest temperature reached exactly 33°C on May 3, 2026, driving the 100% market-implied probability for this outcome. Amid inter-monsoon conditions with light winds and frequent afternoon thundery showers, cloud cover and precipitation capped daytime heating despite pre-event forecasts of 33–35°C daily maximums from NEA's fortnightly outlook. This aligns with May climatology, where Changi highs typically average 31–33°C. With data now finalized per NEA protocols, trader consensus reflects virtual certainty; only an improbable post hoc revision from quality control—such as a late-recorded sensor reading—could challenge it, though historical precedents show such adjustments are rare below 0.1°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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