Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 32°C in Singapore on May 7, 2026, driven by official data from the National Environment Agency's (NEA) Meteorological Service Singapore at the Changi Climate Station—the market's resolution reference—which recorded a daily maximum of 32°C. This aligns with May climatology, where average daily highs cluster around 31–33°C amid the inter-monsoon period's frequent thundery showers, which provide cloud cover and cooling precipitation to suppress peaks despite warmer forecasts of 33–35°C. NEA advisories noted above-average rainfall in the first fortnight, tempering heat buildup. Scenarios challenging this include rare data revisions post-quality control (expected by the 10th) or an improbable late-afternoon spike, though evening conditions with showers make escalation unlikely.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Singapore on May 7?
Highest temperature in Singapore on May 7?
32°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$82,909 Vol.
$82,909 Vol.
May 7, 2026
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$82,909 Vol.
$82,909 Vol.
May 7, 2026
25°C or below
$742 Vol.
No
26°C
$1,450 Vol.
No
27°C
$1,985 Vol.
No
28°C
$3,968 Vol.
No
29°C
$7,995 Vol.
No
30°C
$10,446 Vol.
No
31°C
$6,122 Vol.
No
32°C
$18,205 Vol.
Yes
33°C
$15,652 Vol.
No
34°C
$10,646 Vol.
No
35°C or higher
$5,698 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 32°C in Singapore on May 7, 2026, driven by official data from the National Environment Agency's (NEA) Meteorological Service Singapore at the Changi Climate Station—the market's resolution reference—which recorded a daily maximum of 32°C. This aligns with May climatology, where average daily highs cluster around 31–33°C amid the inter-monsoon period's frequent thundery showers, which provide cloud cover and cooling precipitation to suppress peaks despite warmer forecasts of 33–35°C. NEA advisories noted above-average rainfall in the first fortnight, tempering heat buildup. Scenarios challenging this include rare data revisions post-quality control (expected by the 10th) or an improbable late-afternoon spike, though evening conditions with showers make escalation unlikely.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 5, 2026, 12:22 AM ET
Volume
$82,909End Date
May 7, 2026Market Opened
May 5, 2026, 12:22 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 32°C in Singapore on May 7, 2026, driven by official data from the National Environment Agency's (NEA) Meteorological Service Singapore at the Changi Climate Station—the market's resolution reference—which recorded a daily maximum of 32°C. This aligns with May climatology, where average daily highs cluster around 31–33°C amid the inter-monsoon period's frequent thundery showers, which provide cloud cover and cooling precipitation to suppress peaks despite warmer forecasts of 33–35°C. NEA advisories noted above-average rainfall in the first fortnight, tempering heat buildup. Scenarios challenging this include rare data revisions post-quality control (expected by the 10th) or an improbable late-afternoon spike, though evening conditions with showers make escalation unlikely.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$82,909End Date
May 7, 2026Market Opened
May 5, 2026, 12:22 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 32°C in Singapore on May 7, 2026, driven by official data from the National Environment Agency's (NEA) Meteorological Service Singapore at the Changi Climate Station—the market's resolution reference—which recorded a daily maximum of 32°C. This aligns with May climatology, where average daily highs cluster around 31–33°C amid the inter-monsoon period's frequent thundery showers, which provide cloud cover and cooling precipitation to suppress peaks despite warmer forecasts of 33–35°C. NEA advisories noted above-average rainfall in the first fortnight, tempering heat buildup. Scenarios challenging this include rare data revisions post-quality control (expected by the 10th) or an improbable late-afternoon spike, though evening conditions with showers make escalation unlikely.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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