Recent forecasts from models aligned with Israel Meteorological Service guidance project a daily maximum near 32–34°C in Tel Aviv on July 25 under persistent subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and light southerly flow. This positions 34°C as the modal outcome, with 33°C and 35°C capturing the main uncertainty range from minor variations in boundary-layer mixing and sea-breeze timing. Ensemble spreads remain narrow two days out, limiting odds on extremes below 32°C or above 36°C. No significant synoptic shifts, such as Saharan intrusions or stronger onshore winds, appear in the latest runs, keeping trader consensus clustered around these central values ahead of final observational confirmation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on July 25?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on July 25?
34°C 54%
33°C 23%
35°C 22%
36°C 4.1%
NEW
NEW
Jul 25, 2026
31°C or below
2%
32°C
4%
33°C
23%
34°C
54%
35°C
22%
36°C
4%
37°C
1%
38°C
1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
34°C 54%
33°C 23%
35°C 22%
36°C 4.1%
NEW
NEW
Jul 25, 2026
31°C or below
$124 Vol.
2%
32°C
$124 Vol.
4%
33°C
$127 Vol.
23%
34°C
$156 Vol.
54%
35°C
$203 Vol.
22%
36°C
$209 Vol.
4%
37°C
$136 Vol.
1%
38°C
$253 Vol.
1%
39°C
$126 Vol.
<1%
40°C
$120 Vol.
<1%
41°C or higher
$238 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models aligned with Israel Meteorological Service guidance project a daily maximum near 32–34°C in Tel Aviv on July 25 under persistent subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and light southerly flow. This positions 34°C as the modal outcome, with 33°C and 35°C capturing the main uncertainty range from minor variations in boundary-layer mixing and sea-breeze timing. Ensemble spreads remain narrow two days out, limiting odds on extremes below 32°C or above 36°C. No significant synoptic shifts, such as Saharan intrusions or stronger onshore winds, appear in the latest runs, keeping trader consensus clustered around these central values ahead of final observational confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 23, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$1,795End Date
Jul 25, 2026Market Opened
Jul 23, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models aligned with Israel Meteorological Service guidance project a daily maximum near 32–34°C in Tel Aviv on July 25 under persistent subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and light southerly flow. This positions 34°C as the modal outcome, with 33°C and 35°C capturing the main uncertainty range from minor variations in boundary-layer mixing and sea-breeze timing. Ensemble spreads remain narrow two days out, limiting odds on extremes below 32°C or above 36°C. No significant synoptic shifts, such as Saharan intrusions or stronger onshore winds, appear in the latest runs, keeping trader consensus clustered around these central values ahead of final observational confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,795End Date
Jul 25, 2026Market Opened
Jul 23, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from models aligned with Israel Meteorological Service guidance project a daily maximum near 32–34°C in Tel Aviv on July 25 under persistent subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and light southerly flow. This positions 34°C as the modal outcome, with 33°C and 35°C capturing the main uncertainty range from minor variations in boundary-layer mixing and sea-breeze timing. Ensemble spreads remain narrow two days out, limiting odds on extremes below 32°C or above 36°C. No significant synoptic shifts, such as Saharan intrusions or stronger onshore winds, appear in the latest runs, keeping trader consensus clustered around these central values ahead of final observational confirmation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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