Official measurements from Poland's Institute of Meteorology and Water Management (IMGW) at Warsaw Chopin Airport confirm the highest temperature on April 27 reached exactly 14°C, driving the market's 100% implied probability on this outcome and near-certainty among traders wagering real capital. Persistent northerly airflow advected cool continental polar air across central Europe, suppressing highs under partly cloudy conditions with moderate winds, as precisely forecasted by ECMWF ensemble models and IMGW guidance in the preceding 24-48 hours. This aligns with April climatological norms of 12-14°C daytime maxima in Warsaw. Realistic challenges are minimal, limited to improbable post hoc revisions from station data audits or sensor recalibrations, with resolution imminent based on verified observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Warsaw on April 27?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on April 27?
14°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$62,372 Vol.
$62,372 Vol.
Apr 27, 2026
8°C or below
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
Yes
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C or higher
No
14°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$62,372 Vol.
$62,372 Vol.
Apr 27, 2026
8°C or below
$1,588 Vol.
No
9°C
$1,492 Vol.
No
10°C
$1,485 Vol.
No
11°C
$3,119 Vol.
No
12°C
$14,444 Vol.
No
13°C
$7,429 Vol.
No
14°C
$11,463 Vol.
Yes
15°C
$7,999 Vol.
No
16°C
$6,725 Vol.
No
17°C
$3,839 Vol.
No
18°C or higher
$2,789 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official measurements from Poland's Institute of Meteorology and Water Management (IMGW) at Warsaw Chopin Airport confirm the highest temperature on April 27 reached exactly 14°C, driving the market's 100% implied probability on this outcome and near-certainty among traders wagering real capital. Persistent northerly airflow advected cool continental polar air across central Europe, suppressing highs under partly cloudy conditions with moderate winds, as precisely forecasted by ECMWF ensemble models and IMGW guidance in the preceding 24-48 hours. This aligns with April climatological norms of 12-14°C daytime maxima in Warsaw. Realistic challenges are minimal, limited to improbable post hoc revisions from station data audits or sensor recalibrations, with resolution imminent based on verified observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 25, 2026, 12:23 AM ET
Volume
$62,372End Date
Apr 27, 2026Market Opened
Apr 25, 2026, 12:23 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official measurements from Poland's Institute of Meteorology and Water Management (IMGW) at Warsaw Chopin Airport confirm the highest temperature on April 27 reached exactly 14°C, driving the market's 100% implied probability on this outcome and near-certainty among traders wagering real capital. Persistent northerly airflow advected cool continental polar air across central Europe, suppressing highs under partly cloudy conditions with moderate winds, as precisely forecasted by ECMWF ensemble models and IMGW guidance in the preceding 24-48 hours. This aligns with April climatological norms of 12-14°C daytime maxima in Warsaw. Realistic challenges are minimal, limited to improbable post hoc revisions from station data audits or sensor recalibrations, with resolution imminent based on verified observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$62,372End Date
Apr 27, 2026Market Opened
Apr 25, 2026, 12:23 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official measurements from Poland's Institute of Meteorology and Water Management (IMGW) at Warsaw Chopin Airport confirm the highest temperature on April 27 reached exactly 14°C, driving the market's 100% implied probability on this outcome and near-certainty among traders wagering real capital. Persistent northerly airflow advected cool continental polar air across central Europe, suppressing highs under partly cloudy conditions with moderate winds, as precisely forecasted by ECMWF ensemble models and IMGW guidance in the preceding 24-48 hours. This aligns with April climatological norms of 12-14°C daytime maxima in Warsaw. Realistic challenges are minimal, limited to improbable post hoc revisions from station data audits or sensor recalibrations, with resolution imminent based on verified observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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