Recent official forecasts and numerical weather prediction models from sources including timeanddate and BBC indicate Warsaw highs of 25–26 °C on August 7, 2026, with possible late-day showers and increasing cloud cover that could cap afternoon peaks. This cooling follows hotter conditions earlier in the week and aligns with typical late-summer patterns where Atlantic influences bring moderating moisture and variable steering flow. Ensemble spreads remain modest but hinge on exact precipitation timing and boundary-layer mixing, creating tight market-implied odds between the two leading outcomes. Traders appear to weigh these variables against historical August maxima near 23–25 °C while awaiting updated model runs and observational data from Chopin Airport.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Warsaw on August 7?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on August 7?
25°C 43%
26°C 38%
24°C 10%
27°C 10%
NEW
NEW
Aug 7, 2026
22°C or below
1%
23°C
3%
24°C
10%
25°C
43%
26°C
38%
27°C
10%
28°C
3%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
25°C 43%
26°C 38%
24°C 10%
27°C 10%
NEW
NEW
Aug 7, 2026
22°C or below
$459 Vol.
1%
23°C
$96 Vol.
3%
24°C
$640 Vol.
10%
25°C
$332 Vol.
43%
26°C
$444 Vol.
38%
27°C
$853 Vol.
10%
28°C
$169 Vol.
3%
29°C
$142 Vol.
1%
30°C
$32 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$75 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$457 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts and numerical weather prediction models from sources including timeanddate and BBC indicate Warsaw highs of 25–26 °C on August 7, 2026, with possible late-day showers and increasing cloud cover that could cap afternoon peaks. This cooling follows hotter conditions earlier in the week and aligns with typical late-summer patterns where Atlantic influences bring moderating moisture and variable steering flow. Ensemble spreads remain modest but hinge on exact precipitation timing and boundary-layer mixing, creating tight market-implied odds between the two leading outcomes. Traders appear to weigh these variables against historical August maxima near 23–25 °C while awaiting updated model runs and observational data from Chopin Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$3,698End Date
Aug 7, 2026Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts and numerical weather prediction models from sources including timeanddate and BBC indicate Warsaw highs of 25–26 °C on August 7, 2026, with possible late-day showers and increasing cloud cover that could cap afternoon peaks. This cooling follows hotter conditions earlier in the week and aligns with typical late-summer patterns where Atlantic influences bring moderating moisture and variable steering flow. Ensemble spreads remain modest but hinge on exact precipitation timing and boundary-layer mixing, creating tight market-implied odds between the two leading outcomes. Traders appear to weigh these variables against historical August maxima near 23–25 °C while awaiting updated model runs and observational data from Chopin Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,698End Date
Aug 7, 2026Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts and numerical weather prediction models from sources including timeanddate and BBC indicate Warsaw highs of 25–26 °C on August 7, 2026, with possible late-day showers and increasing cloud cover that could cap afternoon peaks. This cooling follows hotter conditions earlier in the week and aligns with typical late-summer patterns where Atlantic influences bring moderating moisture and variable steering flow. Ensemble spreads remain modest but hinge on exact precipitation timing and boundary-layer mixing, creating tight market-implied odds between the two leading outcomes. Traders appear to weigh these variables against historical August maxima near 23–25 °C while awaiting updated model runs and observational data from Chopin Airport.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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