Official observations from Warsaw Chopin Airport, as tracked by IMGW and reported via platforms like TimeandDate, confirm a peak temperature of 25°C (77°F) around 4:00 p.m. on May 2 under mostly sunny skies and light winds, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome. This aligns precisely with ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecast models projecting daytime maxima of 24–26°C amid a stable high-pressure system over central Poland—well above the early May climatological average of 19°C. Such model agreement and real-time METAR data minimize uncertainty, though rare scenarios like unexpected convective clearing or slight positive temperature bias in afternoon hours could theoretically nudge readings to 26°C before data finalization.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Warsaw on May 2?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on May 2?
25°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$77,462 Обс.
$77,462 Обс.
May 2, 2026
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$77,462 Обс.
$77,462 Обс.
May 2, 2026
18°C or below
$5,304 Обс.
No
19°C
$2,825 Обс.
No
20°C
$3,754 Обс.
No
21°C
$3,236 Обс.
No
22°C
$6,252 Обс.
No
23°C
$8,359 Обс.
No
24°C
$11,640 Обс.
No
25°C
$11,130 Обс.
Yes
26°C
$9,532 Обс.
No
27°C
$7,767 Обс.
No
28°C or higher
$7,664 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Warsaw Chopin Airport, as tracked by IMGW and reported via platforms like TimeandDate, confirm a peak temperature of 25°C (77°F) around 4:00 p.m. on May 2 under mostly sunny skies and light winds, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome. This aligns precisely with ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecast models projecting daytime maxima of 24–26°C amid a stable high-pressure system over central Poland—well above the early May climatological average of 19°C. Such model agreement and real-time METAR data minimize uncertainty, though rare scenarios like unexpected convective clearing or slight positive temperature bias in afternoon hours could theoretically nudge readings to 26°C before data finalization.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Обсяг
$77,462Дата завершення
May 2, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Warsaw Chopin Airport, as tracked by IMGW and reported via platforms like TimeandDate, confirm a peak temperature of 25°C (77°F) around 4:00 p.m. on May 2 under mostly sunny skies and light winds, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome. This aligns precisely with ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecast models projecting daytime maxima of 24–26°C amid a stable high-pressure system over central Poland—well above the early May climatological average of 19°C. Such model agreement and real-time METAR data minimize uncertainty, though rare scenarios like unexpected convective clearing or slight positive temperature bias in afternoon hours could theoretically nudge readings to 26°C before data finalization.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$77,462Дата завершення
May 2, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Official observations from Warsaw Chopin Airport, as tracked by IMGW and reported via platforms like TimeandDate, confirm a peak temperature of 25°C (77°F) around 4:00 p.m. on May 2 under mostly sunny skies and light winds, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome. This aligns precisely with ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecast models projecting daytime maxima of 24–26°C amid a stable high-pressure system over central Poland—well above the early May climatological average of 19°C. Such model agreement and real-time METAR data minimize uncertainty, though rare scenarios like unexpected convective clearing or slight positive temperature bias in afternoon hours could theoretically nudge readings to 26°C before data finalization.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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