Recent short-term forecasts from agencies including the BBC and AccuWeather point to a July 4 high near 21–22 °C in Warsaw, driven by a post-heatwave cooling trend as a frontal boundary and thundery showers reduce solar heating and enhance mixing of cooler air aloft. Ensemble models show modest uncertainty in exact maximum temperature owing to variable cloud cover and precipitation timing, which can alter surface energy balance by several degrees. Historical July averages near 24–25 °C provide context, yet the current synoptic pattern favors values clustered around the market’s leading outcomes of 21 °C and 22 °C. Traders are weighting the latest model runs and official guidance that will be updated through July 3.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Warsaw on July 4?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on July 4?
20°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$92,314 Обс.
$92,314 Обс.
Jul 4, 2026
19°C or below
No
20°C
Yes
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
20°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$92,314 Обс.
$92,314 Обс.
Jul 4, 2026
19°C or below
$13,347 Обс.
No
20°C
$15,301 Обс.
Yes
21°C
$21,807 Обс.
No
22°C
$9,886 Обс.
No
23°C
$8,464 Обс.
No
24°C
$6,231 Обс.
No
25°C
$4,430 Обс.
No
26°C
$2,734 Обс.
No
27°C
$3,775 Обс.
No
28°C
$3,974 Обс.
No
29°C or higher
$2,365 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-term forecasts from agencies including the BBC and AccuWeather point to a July 4 high near 21–22 °C in Warsaw, driven by a post-heatwave cooling trend as a frontal boundary and thundery showers reduce solar heating and enhance mixing of cooler air aloft. Ensemble models show modest uncertainty in exact maximum temperature owing to variable cloud cover and precipitation timing, which can alter surface energy balance by several degrees. Historical July averages near 24–25 °C provide context, yet the current synoptic pattern favors values clustered around the market’s leading outcomes of 21 °C and 22 °C. Traders are weighting the latest model runs and official guidance that will be updated through July 3.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 2, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Обсяг
$92,314Дата завершення
Jul 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 2, 2026, 1:02 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-term forecasts from agencies including the BBC and AccuWeather point to a July 4 high near 21–22 °C in Warsaw, driven by a post-heatwave cooling trend as a frontal boundary and thundery showers reduce solar heating and enhance mixing of cooler air aloft. Ensemble models show modest uncertainty in exact maximum temperature owing to variable cloud cover and precipitation timing, which can alter surface energy balance by several degrees. Historical July averages near 24–25 °C provide context, yet the current synoptic pattern favors values clustered around the market’s leading outcomes of 21 °C and 22 °C. Traders are weighting the latest model runs and official guidance that will be updated through July 3.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$92,314Дата завершення
Jul 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 2, 2026, 1:02 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Recent short-term forecasts from agencies including the BBC and AccuWeather point to a July 4 high near 21–22 °C in Warsaw, driven by a post-heatwave cooling trend as a frontal boundary and thundery showers reduce solar heating and enhance mixing of cooler air aloft. Ensemble models show modest uncertainty in exact maximum temperature owing to variable cloud cover and precipitation timing, which can alter surface energy balance by several degrees. Historical July averages near 24–25 °C provide context, yet the current synoptic pattern favors values clustered around the market’s leading outcomes of 21 °C and 22 °C. Traders are weighting the latest model runs and official guidance that will be updated through July 3.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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