Current forecast guidance for Shanghai on July 27 shows overnight lows centered near 27–29 °C, aligning with the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those outcomes. Subtropical summer conditions, elevated humidity, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies are the dominant factors preventing sharper drops, while any increase in cloud cover or localized showers could nudge the minimum toward 26 °C or below. Recent model consensus from extended July outlooks and short-range guidance supports this narrow range, consistent with climatological baselines where July lows average 25–28 °C. Traders are monitoring the next ECMWF and regional model runs for refinements in boundary-layer moisture and wind patterns ahead of the 48-hour window.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Shanghai on July 27?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on July 27?
28°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$17,196 Обс.
$17,196 Обс.
Jul 27, 2026
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$17,196 Обс.
$17,196 Обс.
Jul 27, 2026
23°C or below
$555 Обс.
No
24°C
$533 Обс.
No
25°C
$705 Обс.
No
26°C
$1,151 Обс.
No
27°C
$2,645 Обс.
No
28°C
$7,439 Обс.
Yes
29°C
$1,651 Обс.
No
30°C
$692 Обс.
No
31°C
$479 Обс.
No
32°C
$512 Обс.
No
33°C or higher
$834 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast guidance for Shanghai on July 27 shows overnight lows centered near 27–29 °C, aligning with the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those outcomes. Subtropical summer conditions, elevated humidity, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies are the dominant factors preventing sharper drops, while any increase in cloud cover or localized showers could nudge the minimum toward 26 °C or below. Recent model consensus from extended July outlooks and short-range guidance supports this narrow range, consistent with climatological baselines where July lows average 25–28 °C. Traders are monitoring the next ECMWF and regional model runs for refinements in boundary-layer moisture and wind patterns ahead of the 48-hour window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$17,196Дата завершення
Jul 27, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast guidance for Shanghai on July 27 shows overnight lows centered near 27–29 °C, aligning with the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those outcomes. Subtropical summer conditions, elevated humidity, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies are the dominant factors preventing sharper drops, while any increase in cloud cover or localized showers could nudge the minimum toward 26 °C or below. Recent model consensus from extended July outlooks and short-range guidance supports this narrow range, consistent with climatological baselines where July lows average 25–28 °C. Traders are monitoring the next ECMWF and regional model runs for refinements in boundary-layer moisture and wind patterns ahead of the 48-hour window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$17,196Дата завершення
Jul 27, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Current forecast guidance for Shanghai on July 27 shows overnight lows centered near 27–29 °C, aligning with the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those outcomes. Subtropical summer conditions, elevated humidity, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies are the dominant factors preventing sharper drops, while any increase in cloud cover or localized showers could nudge the minimum toward 26 °C or below. Recent model consensus from extended July outlooks and short-range guidance supports this narrow range, consistent with climatological baselines where July lows average 25–28 °C. Traders are monitoring the next ECMWF and regional model runs for refinements in boundary-layer moisture and wind patterns ahead of the 48-hour window.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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