SpaceX’s recent IPO pricing announcement has anchored trader consensus around a $70-80 billion raise, with the company fixing shares at $135 each to generate approximately $75 billion in gross proceeds and a $1.77 trillion valuation. This record offering, exceeding prior benchmarks like Saudi Aramco’s 2019 listing, reflects strong demand for the aerospace and Starlink businesses amid robust 2025 revenue of $18.7 billion and favorable equity-market conditions. Institutional allocations and roadshow momentum further reinforce the implied probability. Potential shifts could arise from underwriter exercise of the overallotment option, pushing net proceeds toward $85 billion, or last-minute regulatory delays, though the priced terms limit realistic downside variance ahead of the expected Nasdaq debut.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$393,631 Vol.
$393,631 Vol.
400億ドル未満
いいえ
400～500億ドル
いいえ
500億〜600億ドル
いいえ
600億～700億ドル
いいえ
700～800億ドル
はい
800億〜900億ドル
いいえ
900億〜1,000億
いいえ
1,000億〜1,100億ドル
いいえ
1,100〜1,200億ドル
いいえ
1,200億ドル以上
いいえ
$393,631 Vol.
$393,631 Vol.
400億ドル未満
$35,861 Vol.
いいえ
400～500億ドル
$28,476 Vol.
いいえ
500億〜600億ドル
$55,241 Vol.
いいえ
600億～700億ドル
$38,320 Vol.
いいえ
700～800億ドル
$100,385 Vol.
はい
800億〜900億ドル
$45,193 Vol.
いいえ
900億〜1,000億
$23,857 Vol.
いいえ
1,000億〜1,100億ドル
$18,685 Vol.
いいえ
1,100〜1,200億ドル
$21,511 Vol.
いいえ
1,200億ドル以上
$26,102 Vol.
いいえ
This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by SpaceX in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.SpaceX’s recent IPO pricing announcement has anchored trader consensus around a $70-80 billion raise, with the company fixing shares at $135 each to generate approximately $75 billion in gross proceeds and a $1.77 trillion valuation. This record offering, exceeding prior benchmarks like Saudi Aramco’s 2019 listing, reflects strong demand for the aerospace and Starlink businesses amid robust 2025 revenue of $18.7 billion and favorable equity-market conditions. Institutional allocations and roadshow momentum further reinforce the implied probability. Potential shifts could arise from underwriter exercise of the overallotment option, pushing net proceeds toward $85 billion, or last-minute regulatory delays, though the priced terms limit realistic downside variance ahead of the expected Nasdaq debut.
This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by SpaceX in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Mar 25, 2026, 6:14 PM ET
音量
$393,631マーケット開始日
Mar 25, 2026, 6:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by SpaceX in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.SpaceX’s recent IPO pricing announcement has anchored trader consensus around a $70-80 billion raise, with the company fixing shares at $135 each to generate approximately $75 billion in gross proceeds and a $1.77 trillion valuation. This record offering, exceeding prior benchmarks like Saudi Aramco’s 2019 listing, reflects strong demand for the aerospace and Starlink businesses amid robust 2025 revenue of $18.7 billion and favorable equity-market conditions. Institutional allocations and roadshow momentum further reinforce the implied probability. Potential shifts could arise from underwriter exercise of the overallotment option, pushing net proceeds toward $85 billion, or last-minute regulatory delays, though the priced terms limit realistic downside variance ahead of the expected Nasdaq debut.
This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by SpaceX in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$393,631マーケット開始日
Mar 25, 2026, 6:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
SpaceX’s recent IPO pricing announcement has anchored trader consensus around a $70-80 billion raise, with the company fixing shares at $135 each to generate approximately $75 billion in gross proceeds and a $1.77 trillion valuation. This record offering, exceeding prior benchmarks like Saudi Aramco’s 2019 listing, reflects strong demand for the aerospace and Starlink businesses amid robust 2025 revenue of $18.7 billion and favorable equity-market conditions. Institutional allocations and roadshow momentum further reinforce the implied probability. Potential shifts could arise from underwriter exercise of the overallotment option, pushing net proceeds toward $85 billion, or last-minute regulatory delays, though the priced terms limit realistic downside variance ahead of the expected Nasdaq debut.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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