Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in New York City on June 23 centers on overnight lows clustered around 62–69°F, reflecting tight forecast spreads from numerical weather models. These probabilities arise primarily from expected radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, with light northerly winds and moderate humidity limiting sharp drops below the seasonal norm of roughly 65°F. Slight differences among leading outcomes stem from model variations in cloud cover timing and thickness, which control how much longwave radiation escapes to space overnight, as well as the strength of the urban heat island effect that retains warmth within the city. Proximity to the Atlantic further moderates extremes through marine air influence. With resolution hinging on the official minimum recorded at Central Park or equivalent stations, traders are weighting the balance between potential clearer periods favoring the lower 60s and lingering moisture keeping readings nearer 68–69°F.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in NYC on June 23?
Lowest temperature in NYC on June 23?
68-69°F 100.0%
59°F or below <1%
60-61°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
$32,782 Vol.
$32,782 Vol.
Jun 23, 2026
59°F or below
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
Yes
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78°F or higher
No
68-69°F 100.0%
59°F or below <1%
60-61°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
$32,782 Vol.
$32,782 Vol.
Jun 23, 2026
59°F or below
$1,268 Vol.
No
60-61°F
$1,689 Vol.
No
62-63°F
$2,910 Vol.
No
64-65°F
$2,830 Vol.
No
66-67°F
$4,830 Vol.
No
68-69°F
$10,043 Vol.
Yes
70-71°F
$5,114 Vol.
No
72-73°F
$1,032 Vol.
No
74-75°F
$1,780 Vol.
No
76-77°F
$1,008 Vol.
No
78°F or higher
$279 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in New York City on June 23 centers on overnight lows clustered around 62–69°F, reflecting tight forecast spreads from numerical weather models. These probabilities arise primarily from expected radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, with light northerly winds and moderate humidity limiting sharp drops below the seasonal norm of roughly 65°F. Slight differences among leading outcomes stem from model variations in cloud cover timing and thickness, which control how much longwave radiation escapes to space overnight, as well as the strength of the urban heat island effect that retains warmth within the city. Proximity to the Atlantic further moderates extremes through marine air influence. With resolution hinging on the official minimum recorded at Central Park or equivalent stations, traders are weighting the balance between potential clearer periods favoring the lower 60s and lingering moisture keeping readings nearer 68–69°F.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 21, 2026, 8:30 PM ET
Volume
$32,782End Date
Jun 23, 2026Market Opened
Jun 21, 2026, 8:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in New York City on June 23 centers on overnight lows clustered around 62–69°F, reflecting tight forecast spreads from numerical weather models. These probabilities arise primarily from expected radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, with light northerly winds and moderate humidity limiting sharp drops below the seasonal norm of roughly 65°F. Slight differences among leading outcomes stem from model variations in cloud cover timing and thickness, which control how much longwave radiation escapes to space overnight, as well as the strength of the urban heat island effect that retains warmth within the city. Proximity to the Atlantic further moderates extremes through marine air influence. With resolution hinging on the official minimum recorded at Central Park or equivalent stations, traders are weighting the balance between potential clearer periods favoring the lower 60s and lingering moisture keeping readings nearer 68–69°F.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$32,782End Date
Jun 23, 2026Market Opened
Jun 21, 2026, 8:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in New York City on June 23 centers on overnight lows clustered around 62–69°F, reflecting tight forecast spreads from numerical weather models. These probabilities arise primarily from expected radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, with light northerly winds and moderate humidity limiting sharp drops below the seasonal norm of roughly 65°F. Slight differences among leading outcomes stem from model variations in cloud cover timing and thickness, which control how much longwave radiation escapes to space overnight, as well as the strength of the urban heat island effect that retains warmth within the city. Proximity to the Atlantic further moderates extremes through marine air influence. With resolution hinging on the official minimum recorded at Central Park or equivalent stations, traders are weighting the balance between potential clearer periods favoring the lower 60s and lingering moisture keeping readings nearer 68–69°F.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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