National Weather Service model ensembles and observational data have converged on a 60–61°F overnight low for New York City on May 26, driven by moderate radiational cooling beneath partly cloudy skies and a light northerly flow that limited heat retention after daytime highs near 78°F. Late-May climatology supports this range, with typical lows of 55–62°F under similar high-pressure setups and minimal moisture advection. Trader consensus at 100% on the 60–61°F bin reflects these consistent short-range forecasts and the absence of disruptive weather features. A sudden increase in cloud cover, stronger southerly winds, or an unforecast frontal boundary could lower readings several degrees and shift resolution, though current guidance shows low likelihood of such changes before the measurement window closes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in NYC on May 26?
Lowest temperature in NYC on May 26?
60-61°F 100.0%
49°F or below <1%
50-51°F <1%
52-53°F <1%
$13,168 Vol.
$13,168 Vol.
May 26, 2026
49°F or below
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
Yes
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68°F or higher
No
60-61°F 100.0%
49°F or below <1%
50-51°F <1%
52-53°F <1%
$13,168 Vol.
$13,168 Vol.
May 26, 2026
49°F or below
$1,876 Vol.
No
50-51°F
$677 Vol.
No
52-53°F
$653 Vol.
No
54-55°F
$1,433 Vol.
No
56-57°F
$1,444 Vol.
No
58-59°F
$1,595 Vol.
No
60-61°F
$1,384 Vol.
Yes
62-63°F
$894 Vol.
No
64-65°F
$984 Vol.
No
66-67°F
$1,686 Vol.
No
68°F or higher
$544 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service model ensembles and observational data have converged on a 60–61°F overnight low for New York City on May 26, driven by moderate radiational cooling beneath partly cloudy skies and a light northerly flow that limited heat retention after daytime highs near 78°F. Late-May climatology supports this range, with typical lows of 55–62°F under similar high-pressure setups and minimal moisture advection. Trader consensus at 100% on the 60–61°F bin reflects these consistent short-range forecasts and the absence of disruptive weather features. A sudden increase in cloud cover, stronger southerly winds, or an unforecast frontal boundary could lower readings several degrees and shift resolution, though current guidance shows low likelihood of such changes before the measurement window closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 22, 2026, 12:38 AM ET
Volume
$13,168End Date
May 26, 2026Market Opened
May 22, 2026, 12:38 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service model ensembles and observational data have converged on a 60–61°F overnight low for New York City on May 26, driven by moderate radiational cooling beneath partly cloudy skies and a light northerly flow that limited heat retention after daytime highs near 78°F. Late-May climatology supports this range, with typical lows of 55–62°F under similar high-pressure setups and minimal moisture advection. Trader consensus at 100% on the 60–61°F bin reflects these consistent short-range forecasts and the absence of disruptive weather features. A sudden increase in cloud cover, stronger southerly winds, or an unforecast frontal boundary could lower readings several degrees and shift resolution, though current guidance shows low likelihood of such changes before the measurement window closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$13,168End Date
May 26, 2026Market Opened
May 22, 2026, 12:38 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
National Weather Service model ensembles and observational data have converged on a 60–61°F overnight low for New York City on May 26, driven by moderate radiational cooling beneath partly cloudy skies and a light northerly flow that limited heat retention after daytime highs near 78°F. Late-May climatology supports this range, with typical lows of 55–62°F under similar high-pressure setups and minimal moisture advection. Trader consensus at 100% on the 60–61°F bin reflects these consistent short-range forecasts and the absence of disruptive weather features. A sudden increase in cloud cover, stronger southerly winds, or an unforecast frontal boundary could lower readings several degrees and shift resolution, though current guidance shows low likelihood of such changes before the measurement window closes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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