Official NOAA and National Weather Service observations for New York City on May 31 confirmed a daily minimum temperature of 54–55 °F, driving the market to near-certain consensus on that narrow outcome. This reading reflects typical late-spring conditions under moderate high pressure with light winds and clear skies that limited overnight radiational cooling. Historical climatology for the date shows average lows near 58 °F, so the slightly cooler result aligned with short-term model guidance from the prior 48 hours. Minor uncertainty remains around station-specific microclimate differences or final data-quality checks, though such revisions rarely exceed 1–2 °F and would need to shift the value outside the current bin to alter resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in NYC on May 31?
Lowest temperature in NYC on May 31?
54-55°F 100.0%
43°F or below <1%
44-45°F <1%
46-47°F <1%
$47,112 Vol.
$47,112 Vol.
May 31, 2026
43°F or below
No
44-45°F
No
46-47°F
No
48-49°F
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
Yes
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62°F or higher
No
54-55°F 100.0%
43°F or below <1%
44-45°F <1%
46-47°F <1%
$47,112 Vol.
$47,112 Vol.
May 31, 2026
43°F or below
$5,035 Vol.
No
44-45°F
$5,633 Vol.
No
46-47°F
$2,632 Vol.
No
48-49°F
$3,017 Vol.
No
50-51°F
$3,641 Vol.
No
52-53°F
$4,568 Vol.
No
54-55°F
$8,583 Vol.
Yes
56-57°F
$6,397 Vol.
No
58-59°F
$2,400 Vol.
No
60-61°F
$3,059 Vol.
No
62°F or higher
$2,147 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official NOAA and National Weather Service observations for New York City on May 31 confirmed a daily minimum temperature of 54–55 °F, driving the market to near-certain consensus on that narrow outcome. This reading reflects typical late-spring conditions under moderate high pressure with light winds and clear skies that limited overnight radiational cooling. Historical climatology for the date shows average lows near 58 °F, so the slightly cooler result aligned with short-term model guidance from the prior 48 hours. Minor uncertainty remains around station-specific microclimate differences or final data-quality checks, though such revisions rarely exceed 1–2 °F and would need to shift the value outside the current bin to alter resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: May 29, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$47,112End Date
May 31, 2026Market Opened
May 29, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official NOAA and National Weather Service observations for New York City on May 31 confirmed a daily minimum temperature of 54–55 °F, driving the market to near-certain consensus on that narrow outcome. This reading reflects typical late-spring conditions under moderate high pressure with light winds and clear skies that limited overnight radiational cooling. Historical climatology for the date shows average lows near 58 °F, so the slightly cooler result aligned with short-term model guidance from the prior 48 hours. Minor uncertainty remains around station-specific microclimate differences or final data-quality checks, though such revisions rarely exceed 1–2 °F and would need to shift the value outside the current bin to alter resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$47,112End Date
May 31, 2026Market Opened
May 29, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official NOAA and National Weather Service observations for New York City on May 31 confirmed a daily minimum temperature of 54–55 °F, driving the market to near-certain consensus on that narrow outcome. This reading reflects typical late-spring conditions under moderate high pressure with light winds and clear skies that limited overnight radiational cooling. Historical climatology for the date shows average lows near 58 °F, so the slightly cooler result aligned with short-term model guidance from the prior 48 hours. Minor uncertainty remains around station-specific microclimate differences or final data-quality checks, though such revisions rarely exceed 1–2 °F and would need to shift the value outside the current bin to alter resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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