Current forecasts from major meteorological models, including those from Météo-France and international ensembles, converge on a minimum nighttime temperature of 14°C for Paris on June 15, 2026, driven by stable high-pressure conditions and typical mid-June radiative cooling under clear to partly cloudy skies. This aligns with climatological baselines for the period, where overnight lows commonly range 12–15°C absent anomalous advection. The near-certain market pricing reflects strong model agreement and minimal expected variability in surface observations at official stations. Unlikely shifts could arise from an unforecasted cold-air intrusion or measurement discrepancies at the reference site, though such outcomes remain improbable given the late timing and current synoptic setup.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Paris on June 15?
Lowest temperature in Paris on June 15?
14°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$22,237 Vol.
$22,237 Vol.
Jun 15, 2026
10°C or below
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
Yes
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C or higher
No
14°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$22,237 Vol.
$22,237 Vol.
Jun 15, 2026
10°C or below
$566 Vol.
No
11°C
$3,340 Vol.
No
12°C
$2,701 Vol.
No
13°C
$2,565 Vol.
No
14°C
$3,190 Vol.
Yes
15°C
$1,572 Vol.
No
16°C
$1,931 Vol.
No
17°C
$1,314 Vol.
No
18°C
$1,394 Vol.
No
19°C
$985 Vol.
No
20°C or higher
$2,681 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from major meteorological models, including those from Météo-France and international ensembles, converge on a minimum nighttime temperature of 14°C for Paris on June 15, 2026, driven by stable high-pressure conditions and typical mid-June radiative cooling under clear to partly cloudy skies. This aligns with climatological baselines for the period, where overnight lows commonly range 12–15°C absent anomalous advection. The near-certain market pricing reflects strong model agreement and minimal expected variability in surface observations at official stations. Unlikely shifts could arise from an unforecasted cold-air intrusion or measurement discrepancies at the reference site, though such outcomes remain improbable given the late timing and current synoptic setup.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 13, 2026, 12:34 AM ET
Volume
$22,237End Date
Jun 15, 2026Market Opened
Jun 13, 2026, 12:34 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from major meteorological models, including those from Météo-France and international ensembles, converge on a minimum nighttime temperature of 14°C for Paris on June 15, 2026, driven by stable high-pressure conditions and typical mid-June radiative cooling under clear to partly cloudy skies. This aligns with climatological baselines for the period, where overnight lows commonly range 12–15°C absent anomalous advection. The near-certain market pricing reflects strong model agreement and minimal expected variability in surface observations at official stations. Unlikely shifts could arise from an unforecasted cold-air intrusion or measurement discrepancies at the reference site, though such outcomes remain improbable given the late timing and current synoptic setup.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$22,237End Date
Jun 15, 2026Market Opened
Jun 13, 2026, 12:34 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Current forecasts from major meteorological models, including those from Météo-France and international ensembles, converge on a minimum nighttime temperature of 14°C for Paris on June 15, 2026, driven by stable high-pressure conditions and typical mid-June radiative cooling under clear to partly cloudy skies. This aligns with climatological baselines for the period, where overnight lows commonly range 12–15°C absent anomalous advection. The near-certain market pricing reflects strong model agreement and minimal expected variability in surface observations at official stations. Unlikely shifts could arise from an unforecasted cold-air intrusion or measurement discrepancies at the reference site, though such outcomes remain improbable given the late timing and current synoptic setup.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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