Recent meteorological forecasts from agencies like Meteored project an overnight low near 18–19°C for Paris on June 16, 2026, amid a warming trend with daytime highs approaching 29°C. This aligns with typical early-summer conditions where clear skies and moderate winds allow efficient nocturnal radiative cooling without dropping further, producing market-implied odds exceeding 98% for the 19°C bin. Official temperature records from central Paris stations will determine resolution based on the daily minimum. Unseasonal cloud cover, increased humidity, or a late frontal passage could lower readings toward 18°C or below, though current model consensus shows limited divergence on these variables.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Paris on June 16?
Lowest temperature in Paris on June 16?
19°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$29,487 Vol.
$29,487 Vol.
Jun 16, 2026
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
Yes
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
19°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$29,487 Vol.
$29,487 Vol.
Jun 16, 2026
16°C or below
$8,968 Vol.
No
17°C
$3,424 Vol.
No
18°C
$1,745 Vol.
No
19°C
$5,219 Vol.
Yes
20°C
$2,958 Vol.
No
21°C
$2,248 Vol.
No
22°C
$1,015 Vol.
No
23°C
$915 Vol.
No
24°C
$1,050 Vol.
No
25°C
$544 Vol.
No
26°C or higher
$1,401 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts from agencies like Meteored project an overnight low near 18–19°C for Paris on June 16, 2026, amid a warming trend with daytime highs approaching 29°C. This aligns with typical early-summer conditions where clear skies and moderate winds allow efficient nocturnal radiative cooling without dropping further, producing market-implied odds exceeding 98% for the 19°C bin. Official temperature records from central Paris stations will determine resolution based on the daily minimum. Unseasonal cloud cover, increased humidity, or a late frontal passage could lower readings toward 18°C or below, though current model consensus shows limited divergence on these variables.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$29,487End Date
Jun 16, 2026Market Opened
Jun 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts from agencies like Meteored project an overnight low near 18–19°C for Paris on June 16, 2026, amid a warming trend with daytime highs approaching 29°C. This aligns with typical early-summer conditions where clear skies and moderate winds allow efficient nocturnal radiative cooling without dropping further, producing market-implied odds exceeding 98% for the 19°C bin. Official temperature records from central Paris stations will determine resolution based on the daily minimum. Unseasonal cloud cover, increased humidity, or a late frontal passage could lower readings toward 18°C or below, though current model consensus shows limited divergence on these variables.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$29,487End Date
Jun 16, 2026Market Opened
Jun 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Recent meteorological forecasts from agencies like Meteored project an overnight low near 18–19°C for Paris on June 16, 2026, amid a warming trend with daytime highs approaching 29°C. This aligns with typical early-summer conditions where clear skies and moderate winds allow efficient nocturnal radiative cooling without dropping further, producing market-implied odds exceeding 98% for the 19°C bin. Official temperature records from central Paris stations will determine resolution based on the daily minimum. Unseasonal cloud cover, increased humidity, or a late frontal passage could lower readings toward 18°C or below, though current model consensus shows limited divergence on these variables.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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