A persistent high-pressure system and early heatwave across northern France drove elevated nocturnal minimum temperatures in Paris on May 26, 2026, keeping the overnight low near 17°C according to Météo-France analyses and supporting model runs. Warm advection from the south, combined with clear skies and light winds, limited radiative cooling and prevented the temperature from dropping to typical late-spring levels around 11–13°C. This consensus aligns with observed highs near 32°C and official guidance showing lows holding at or above 16–17°C. Only an unexpected localized cooling pocket or measurement anomaly at the reference station could shift the recorded minimum lower, though current data indicate such outcomes remain highly improbable.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Paris on May 26?
Lowest temperature in Paris on May 26?
17°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$10,817 Vol.
$10,817 Vol.
May 26, 2026
12°C or below
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
Yes
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C or higher
No
17°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$10,817 Vol.
$10,817 Vol.
May 26, 2026
12°C or below
$316 Vol.
No
13°C
$355 Vol.
No
14°C
$972 Vol.
No
15°C
$1,468 Vol.
No
16°C
$929 Vol.
No
17°C
$2,678 Vol.
Yes
18°C
$489 Vol.
No
19°C
$1,099 Vol.
No
20°C
$896 Vol.
No
21°C
$841 Vol.
No
22°C or higher
$773 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.A persistent high-pressure system and early heatwave across northern France drove elevated nocturnal minimum temperatures in Paris on May 26, 2026, keeping the overnight low near 17°C according to Météo-France analyses and supporting model runs. Warm advection from the south, combined with clear skies and light winds, limited radiative cooling and prevented the temperature from dropping to typical late-spring levels around 11–13°C. This consensus aligns with observed highs near 32°C and official guidance showing lows holding at or above 16–17°C. Only an unexpected localized cooling pocket or measurement anomaly at the reference station could shift the recorded minimum lower, though current data indicate such outcomes remain highly improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 22, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Volume
$10,817End Date
May 26, 2026Market Opened
May 22, 2026, 12:32 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.A persistent high-pressure system and early heatwave across northern France drove elevated nocturnal minimum temperatures in Paris on May 26, 2026, keeping the overnight low near 17°C according to Météo-France analyses and supporting model runs. Warm advection from the south, combined with clear skies and light winds, limited radiative cooling and prevented the temperature from dropping to typical late-spring levels around 11–13°C. This consensus aligns with observed highs near 32°C and official guidance showing lows holding at or above 16–17°C. Only an unexpected localized cooling pocket or measurement anomaly at the reference station could shift the recorded minimum lower, though current data indicate such outcomes remain highly improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$10,817End Date
May 26, 2026Market Opened
May 22, 2026, 12:32 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
A persistent high-pressure system and early heatwave across northern France drove elevated nocturnal minimum temperatures in Paris on May 26, 2026, keeping the overnight low near 17°C according to Météo-France analyses and supporting model runs. Warm advection from the south, combined with clear skies and light winds, limited radiative cooling and prevented the temperature from dropping to typical late-spring levels around 11–13°C. This consensus aligns with observed highs near 32°C and official guidance showing lows holding at or above 16–17°C. Only an unexpected localized cooling pocket or measurement anomaly at the reference station could shift the recorded minimum lower, though current data indicate such outcomes remain highly improbable.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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