Météo-France forecasts and numerical weather models converged on an overnight minimum near 17°C for Paris on May 31, 2026, under partly cloudy skies and light northwesterly flow. Post-event observations from the Paris-Le Bourget Airport station confirmed this exact daily low, locking trader sentiment at 100% implied probability for the 17°C outcome. This alignment matches late-May climatological norms for the region, where typical overnight lows range from 10–16°C. With resolution now complete, only a station data revision or measurement discrepancy could realistically alter the market outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Paris on May 31?
17°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$20,660 Vol.
$20,660 Vol.
11°C or below
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
Yes
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C or higher
No
17°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$20,660 Vol.
$20,660 Vol.
11°C or below
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
Yes
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: May 29, 2026, 12:47 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Météo-France forecasts and numerical weather models converged on an overnight minimum near 17°C for Paris on May 31, 2026, under partly cloudy skies and light northwesterly flow. Post-event observations from the Paris-Le Bourget Airport station confirmed this exact daily low, locking trader sentiment at 100% implied probability for the 17°C outcome. This alignment matches late-May climatological norms for the region, where typical overnight lows range from 10–16°C. With resolution now complete, only a station data revision or measurement discrepancy could realistically alter the market outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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