Recent short-range forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and supporting models show Seoul’s overnight low settling near 16°C on June 11 under stable early-summer conditions, light winds, and partial cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. This consensus aligns with typical early-June climatology for the region, where average lows hover around 15–17°C before the monsoon intensifies later in the month. Traders have driven the 16°C outcome to near-certain market-implied odds because official guidance has remained consistent without major model divergences or rapid weather shifts. A sudden increase in cloudiness or an unexpected wind change could nudge readings slightly lower or higher, though such deviations appear improbable given current atmospheric stability.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Seoul on June 11?
Lowest temperature in Seoul on June 11?
16°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$38,202 Vol.
$38,202 Vol.
Jun 11, 2026
11°C or below
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
Yes
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C or higher
No
16°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$38,202 Vol.
$38,202 Vol.
Jun 11, 2026
11°C or below
$557 Vol.
No
12°C
$571 Vol.
No
13°C
$845 Vol.
No
14°C
$2,574 Vol.
No
15°C
$3,742 Vol.
No
16°C
$15,256 Vol.
Yes
17°C
$1,984 Vol.
No
18°C
$10,966 Vol.
No
19°C
$772 Vol.
No
20°C
$481 Vol.
No
21°C or higher
$454 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and supporting models show Seoul’s overnight low settling near 16°C on June 11 under stable early-summer conditions, light winds, and partial cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. This consensus aligns with typical early-June climatology for the region, where average lows hover around 15–17°C before the monsoon intensifies later in the month. Traders have driven the 16°C outcome to near-certain market-implied odds because official guidance has remained consistent without major model divergences or rapid weather shifts. A sudden increase in cloudiness or an unexpected wind change could nudge readings slightly lower or higher, though such deviations appear improbable given current atmospheric stability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$38,202End Date
Jun 11, 2026Market Opened
Jun 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and supporting models show Seoul’s overnight low settling near 16°C on June 11 under stable early-summer conditions, light winds, and partial cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. This consensus aligns with typical early-June climatology for the region, where average lows hover around 15–17°C before the monsoon intensifies later in the month. Traders have driven the 16°C outcome to near-certain market-implied odds because official guidance has remained consistent without major model divergences or rapid weather shifts. A sudden increase in cloudiness or an unexpected wind change could nudge readings slightly lower or higher, though such deviations appear improbable given current atmospheric stability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$38,202End Date
Jun 11, 2026Market Opened
Jun 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Recent short-range forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and supporting models show Seoul’s overnight low settling near 16°C on June 11 under stable early-summer conditions, light winds, and partial cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. This consensus aligns with typical early-June climatology for the region, where average lows hover around 15–17°C before the monsoon intensifies later in the month. Traders have driven the 16°C outcome to near-certain market-implied odds because official guidance has remained consistent without major model divergences or rapid weather shifts. A sudden increase in cloudiness or an unexpected wind change could nudge readings slightly lower or higher, though such deviations appear improbable given current atmospheric stability.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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