Official forecasts from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration point to a morning low near 18°C for Seoul on June 12, 2026, under mostly clear skies with light winds that limit overnight cooling. This aligns with early-summer climatology, where average lows hover around 16–19°C before monsoon humidity builds, and recent model runs show minimal deviation from that range. Trader consensus at 97% for 18°C reflects high confidence in these stable conditions and the resolution criteria tied to official daily minimum readings. Uncertainties could arise from unexpected cloud cover increasing radiative cooling or a late frontal passage altering temperatures by 1–2°C, though current guidance shows low probability of such shifts before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Seoul on June 12?
18°C 100.0%
17°C <1%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
$20,937 Vol.
$20,937 Vol.
13°C or below
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
Yes
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C or higher
No
18°C 100.0%
17°C <1%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
$20,937 Vol.
$20,937 Vol.
13°C or below
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
Yes
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official forecasts from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration point to a morning low near 18°C for Seoul on June 12, 2026, under mostly clear skies with light winds that limit overnight cooling. This aligns with early-summer climatology, where average lows hover around 16–19°C before monsoon humidity builds, and recent model runs show minimal deviation from that range. Trader consensus at 97% for 18°C reflects high confidence in these stable conditions and the resolution criteria tied to official daily minimum readings. Uncertainties could arise from unexpected cloud cover increasing radiative cooling or a late frontal passage altering temperatures by 1–2°C, though current guidance shows low probability of such shifts before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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