Current forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models indicate Seoul’s overnight low stabilizing near 16°C on June 9 under clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds, consistent with early-June climatological averages of 14–17°C. This strong model consensus and absence of cold-air advection or heavy precipitation underpin the near-certain market-implied probability for 16°C as the day’s minimum, recorded at official stations between 3 a.m. and 9 a.m. local time. A realistic shift to lower values would require an unforecasted northerly surge or enhanced radiational cooling from unexpected cloud changes, both low-probability outcomes given the latest guidance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Seoul on June 9?
Lowest temperature in Seoul on June 9?
16°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$22,137 Vol.
$22,137 Vol.
Jun 9, 2026
10°C or below
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
Yes
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C or higher
No
16°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$22,137 Vol.
$22,137 Vol.
Jun 9, 2026
10°C or below
$683 Vol.
No
11°C
$865 Vol.
No
12°C
$536 Vol.
No
13°C
$637 Vol.
No
14°C
$1,442 Vol.
No
15°C
$5,572 Vol.
No
16°C
$4,964 Vol.
Yes
17°C
$1,658 Vol.
No
18°C
$1,794 Vol.
No
19°C
$2,190 Vol.
No
20°C or higher
$1,796 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models indicate Seoul’s overnight low stabilizing near 16°C on June 9 under clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds, consistent with early-June climatological averages of 14–17°C. This strong model consensus and absence of cold-air advection or heavy precipitation underpin the near-certain market-implied probability for 16°C as the day’s minimum, recorded at official stations between 3 a.m. and 9 a.m. local time. A realistic shift to lower values would require an unforecasted northerly surge or enhanced radiational cooling from unexpected cloud changes, both low-probability outcomes given the latest guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 7, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Volume
$22,137End Date
Jun 9, 2026Market Opened
Jun 7, 2026, 12:32 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models indicate Seoul’s overnight low stabilizing near 16°C on June 9 under clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds, consistent with early-June climatological averages of 14–17°C. This strong model consensus and absence of cold-air advection or heavy precipitation underpin the near-certain market-implied probability for 16°C as the day’s minimum, recorded at official stations between 3 a.m. and 9 a.m. local time. A realistic shift to lower values would require an unforecasted northerly surge or enhanced radiational cooling from unexpected cloud changes, both low-probability outcomes given the latest guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$22,137End Date
Jun 9, 2026Market Opened
Jun 7, 2026, 12:32 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Current forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models indicate Seoul’s overnight low stabilizing near 16°C on June 9 under clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds, consistent with early-June climatological averages of 14–17°C. This strong model consensus and absence of cold-air advection or heavy precipitation underpin the near-certain market-implied probability for 16°C as the day’s minimum, recorded at official stations between 3 a.m. and 9 a.m. local time. A realistic shift to lower values would require an unforecasted northerly surge or enhanced radiational cooling from unexpected cloud changes, both low-probability outcomes given the latest guidance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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