Ongoing summer heat across the Yangtze River Delta, reinforced by developing El Niño conditions and reduced monsoon rainfall, keeps nighttime radiative cooling limited and supports elevated minimum temperatures in Shanghai. Recent July patterns with daytime peaks near 36°C and limited cloud cover have produced overnight lows of 28–29°C, aligning with the market’s top-implied outcomes of 32°C or higher and 28°C. Short-term model consensus from regional agencies points to continued warm advection through July 30, though any late-month frontal passage or increased typhoon activity could introduce cooler air and lower the minimum. Traders weigh these dynamics against historical July low averages near 26–27°C when assessing resolution thresholds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Shanghai on July 30?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on July 30?
27°C 38%
28°C 32%
24°C 14%
26°C 14%
NEW
NEW
Jul 30, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
10%
24°C
14%
25°C
9%
26°C
14%
27°C
38%
28°C
32%
29°C
10%
30°C
8%
31°C
11%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 38%
28°C 32%
24°C 14%
26°C 14%
NEW
NEW
Jul 30, 2026
22°C or below
$27 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$32 Vol.
10%
24°C
$47 Vol.
14%
25°C
$8 Vol.
9%
26°C
$0 Vol.
14%
27°C
$20 Vol.
38%
28°C
$20 Vol.
32%
29°C
$0 Vol.
10%
30°C
$8 Vol.
8%
31°C
$32 Vol.
11%
32°C or higher
$32 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing summer heat across the Yangtze River Delta, reinforced by developing El Niño conditions and reduced monsoon rainfall, keeps nighttime radiative cooling limited and supports elevated minimum temperatures in Shanghai. Recent July patterns with daytime peaks near 36°C and limited cloud cover have produced overnight lows of 28–29°C, aligning with the market’s top-implied outcomes of 32°C or higher and 28°C. Short-term model consensus from regional agencies points to continued warm advection through July 30, though any late-month frontal passage or increased typhoon activity could introduce cooler air and lower the minimum. Traders weigh these dynamics against historical July low averages near 26–27°C when assessing resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$225End Date
Jul 30, 2026Market Opened
Jul 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing summer heat across the Yangtze River Delta, reinforced by developing El Niño conditions and reduced monsoon rainfall, keeps nighttime radiative cooling limited and supports elevated minimum temperatures in Shanghai. Recent July patterns with daytime peaks near 36°C and limited cloud cover have produced overnight lows of 28–29°C, aligning with the market’s top-implied outcomes of 32°C or higher and 28°C. Short-term model consensus from regional agencies points to continued warm advection through July 30, though any late-month frontal passage or increased typhoon activity could introduce cooler air and lower the minimum. Traders weigh these dynamics against historical July low averages near 26–27°C when assessing resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$225End Date
Jul 30, 2026Market Opened
Jul 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ongoing summer heat across the Yangtze River Delta, reinforced by developing El Niño conditions and reduced monsoon rainfall, keeps nighttime radiative cooling limited and supports elevated minimum temperatures in Shanghai. Recent July patterns with daytime peaks near 36°C and limited cloud cover have produced overnight lows of 28–29°C, aligning with the market’s top-implied outcomes of 32°C or higher and 28°C. Short-term model consensus from regional agencies points to continued warm advection through July 30, though any late-month frontal passage or increased typhoon activity could introduce cooler air and lower the minimum. Traders weigh these dynamics against historical July low averages near 26–27°C when assessing resolution thresholds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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