Latest numerical weather prediction ensembles from agencies monitoring the region show Shanghai’s overnight minimum on June 4 settling near 24°C, supported by persistent subtropical high pressure, moderate humidity, and variable cloud cover that reduces radiative cooling. This places the outcome well above the early-June climatological average low of roughly 19–21°C, reflecting warmer baseline conditions and light winds that suppress further drops. Trader consensus at 100% on 24°C aggregates these model runs and real-time observations, with the narrow 21–25°C envelope limiting upside or downside surprises. Only an unexpected clear-sky radiative cooling event or localized measurement variance at official stations could realistically shift the recorded low outside this range before final data confirmation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Shanghai on June 4?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on June 4?
24°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$28,764 Vol.
$28,764 Vol.
Jun 4, 2026
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$28,764 Vol.
$28,764 Vol.
Jun 4, 2026
17°C or below
$1,285 Vol.
No
18°C
$194 Vol.
No
19°C
$345 Vol.
No
20°C
$368 Vol.
No
21°C
$1,123 Vol.
No
22°C
$4,370 Vol.
No
23°C
$6,416 Vol.
No
24°C
$8,829 Vol.
Yes
25°C
$3,340 Vol.
No
26°C
$360 Vol.
No
27°C or higher
$2,133 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction ensembles from agencies monitoring the region show Shanghai’s overnight minimum on June 4 settling near 24°C, supported by persistent subtropical high pressure, moderate humidity, and variable cloud cover that reduces radiative cooling. This places the outcome well above the early-June climatological average low of roughly 19–21°C, reflecting warmer baseline conditions and light winds that suppress further drops. Trader consensus at 100% on 24°C aggregates these model runs and real-time observations, with the narrow 21–25°C envelope limiting upside or downside surprises. Only an unexpected clear-sky radiative cooling event or localized measurement variance at official stations could realistically shift the recorded low outside this range before final data confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 2, 2026, 12:43 AM ET
Volume
$28,764End Date
Jun 4, 2026Market Opened
Jun 2, 2026, 12:43 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction ensembles from agencies monitoring the region show Shanghai’s overnight minimum on June 4 settling near 24°C, supported by persistent subtropical high pressure, moderate humidity, and variable cloud cover that reduces radiative cooling. This places the outcome well above the early-June climatological average low of roughly 19–21°C, reflecting warmer baseline conditions and light winds that suppress further drops. Trader consensus at 100% on 24°C aggregates these model runs and real-time observations, with the narrow 21–25°C envelope limiting upside or downside surprises. Only an unexpected clear-sky radiative cooling event or localized measurement variance at official stations could realistically shift the recorded low outside this range before final data confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$28,764End Date
Jun 4, 2026Market Opened
Jun 2, 2026, 12:43 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Latest numerical weather prediction ensembles from agencies monitoring the region show Shanghai’s overnight minimum on June 4 settling near 24°C, supported by persistent subtropical high pressure, moderate humidity, and variable cloud cover that reduces radiative cooling. This places the outcome well above the early-June climatological average low of roughly 19–21°C, reflecting warmer baseline conditions and light winds that suppress further drops. Trader consensus at 100% on 24°C aggregates these model runs and real-time observations, with the narrow 21–25°C envelope limiting upside or downside surprises. Only an unexpected clear-sky radiative cooling event or localized measurement variance at official stations could realistically shift the recorded low outside this range before final data confirmation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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