Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency place Tokyo’s overnight low near 16°C on June 5 amid the early East Asian monsoon (tsuyu) period, with persistent cloud cover and light rain suppressing radiative cooling. This aligns with climatological norms for early June, when average minimums range 17–19°C but frequently dip to 16°C under similar moisture and wind patterns. Numerical weather models show tight clustering around this value, supporting the market’s near-certain consensus. A sudden clearing of skies or stronger northerly flow could allow the temperature to fall to 15°C or below, while delayed rain onset might keep readings at 17°C or higher.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Tokyo on June 5?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on June 5?
16°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$19,879 Vol.
$19,879 Vol.
Jun 5, 2026
11°C or below
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
Yes
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C or higher
No
16°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$19,879 Vol.
$19,879 Vol.
Jun 5, 2026
11°C or below
$1,080 Vol.
No
12°C
$343 Vol.
No
13°C
$1,863 Vol.
No
14°C
$1,398 Vol.
No
15°C
$3,599 Vol.
No
16°C
$1,160 Vol.
Yes
17°C
$1,627 Vol.
No
18°C
$4,532 Vol.
No
19°C
$955 Vol.
No
20°C
$3,013 Vol.
No
21°C or higher
$308 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency place Tokyo’s overnight low near 16°C on June 5 amid the early East Asian monsoon (tsuyu) period, with persistent cloud cover and light rain suppressing radiative cooling. This aligns with climatological norms for early June, when average minimums range 17–19°C but frequently dip to 16°C under similar moisture and wind patterns. Numerical weather models show tight clustering around this value, supporting the market’s near-certain consensus. A sudden clearing of skies or stronger northerly flow could allow the temperature to fall to 15°C or below, while delayed rain onset might keep readings at 17°C or higher.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 3, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volume
$19,879End Date
Jun 5, 2026Market Opened
Jun 3, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency place Tokyo’s overnight low near 16°C on June 5 amid the early East Asian monsoon (tsuyu) period, with persistent cloud cover and light rain suppressing radiative cooling. This aligns with climatological norms for early June, when average minimums range 17–19°C but frequently dip to 16°C under similar moisture and wind patterns. Numerical weather models show tight clustering around this value, supporting the market’s near-certain consensus. A sudden clearing of skies or stronger northerly flow could allow the temperature to fall to 15°C or below, while delayed rain onset might keep readings at 17°C or higher.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$19,879End Date
Jun 5, 2026Market Opened
Jun 3, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency place Tokyo’s overnight low near 16°C on June 5 amid the early East Asian monsoon (tsuyu) period, with persistent cloud cover and light rain suppressing radiative cooling. This aligns with climatological norms for early June, when average minimums range 17–19°C but frequently dip to 16°C under similar moisture and wind patterns. Numerical weather models show tight clustering around this value, supporting the market’s near-certain consensus. A sudden clearing of skies or stronger northerly flow could allow the temperature to fall to 15°C or below, while delayed rain onset might keep readings at 17°C or higher.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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