Marta Kostyuk's straight-sets 6-3, 7-5 victory over Mirra Andreeva in the 2026 Mutua Madrid Open women's singles final on May 2 has solidified trader consensus at 100% implied probability for her as champion, securing her maiden WTA 1000 title on clay at La Caja Magica. Early upsets eliminated top seeds including Aryna Sabalenka, Elena Rybakina, Coco Gauff, and Iga Swiatek, paving the way for the 26th-seeded Kostyuk—who rallied past Anastasia Potapova 6-2, 1-6, 6-1 in the semifinals—and ninth-seeded Andreeva, who advanced after holding off Hailey Baptiste. Kostyuk's superior clay-court form and resilience in the decider drove the market's dominant positioning, with official results leaving scant room for challenges absent disputes or appeals.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourMarta Kostyuk 100.0%
Talia Gibson 1.0%
Oksana Selekhmeteva 1.0%
Ekaterina Alexandrova <1%
$52,388 Vol.
$52,388 Vol.
Ekaterina Alexandrova
Non
Mirra Andreeva
Non
Hailey Baptiste
Non
Belinda Bencic
Non
Anna Bondar
Non
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
Non
Sorana Cîrstea
Non
Jaqueline Cristian
Non
Leylah Fernandez
Non
Coco Gauff
Non
Viktorija Golubic
Non
Iva Jovic
Non
Sofia Kenin
Non
Ashlyn Krueger
Non
Eva Lys
Non
Robin Montgomery
Non
Oleksandra Oliynykova
Non
Camila Osorio
Non
Jasmine Paolini
Non
Jessica Pegula
Non
Yulia Putintseva
Non
Kaitlin Quevedo
Non
Emma Raducanu
Non
Liudmila Samsonova
Non
Solana Sierra
Non
Zeynep Sonmez
Non
Peyton Stearns
Non
Elina Svitolina
Non
Moyuka Uchijima
Non
Dalma Galfi
Non
Tyra Caterina Grant
Non
Anhelina Kalinina
Non
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova
Non
Irina-Camelia Begu
Non
Kimberly Birrell
Non
Katie Boulter
Non
Marie Bouzková
Non
Elisabetta Cocciaretto
Non
Alexandra Eala
Non
Magdalena Frech
Non
Talia Gibson
Non
Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva
Non
Anna Kalinskaya
Non
Daria Kasatkina
Non
Madison Keys
Non
Ann Li
Non
Elise Mertens
Non
Linda Noskova
Non
Naomi Osaka
Non
Jelena Ostapenko
Non
Karolina Pliskova
Non
Kamilla Rakhimova
Non
Elena Rybakina
Non
Maria Sakkari
Non
Laura Siegemund
Non
Katerina Siniaková
Non
Sara Sorribes Tormo
Non
Iga Swiatek
Non
Ajla Tomljanovic
Non
Tereza Valentova
Non
Xinyu Wang
Non
Venus Williams
Non
Alina Charaeva
Non
Leolia Jeanjean
Non
Sinja Kraus
Non
Daria Snigur
Non
Amanda Anisimova
Non
Paula Badosa
Non
Julia Grabher
Non
Marta Kostyuk
Oui
Petra Marcinko
Non
Victoria Mboko
Non
Caty McNally
Non
Elena-Gabriela Ruse
Non
Aryna Sabalenka
Non
Diana Shnaider
Non
Janice Tjen
Non
Shuai Zhang
Non
Emiliana Arango
Non
Elvina Kalieva
Non
Lois Boisson
Non
Cristina Bucsa
Non
Beatriz Haddad Maia
Non
Elsa Jacquemot
Non
Magda Linette
Non
Tatjana Maria
Non
Carlota Martínez Cirez
Non
Antonia Ruzic
Non
Laura Samson
Non
Oksana Selekhmeteva
Non
Clara Tauson
Non
Taylor Townsend
Non
Dayana Yastremska
Non
Anastasia Zakharova
Non
Qinwen Zheng
Non
Alycia Parks
Non
Yuliia Starodubtseva
Non
Simona Waltert
Non
Panna Udvardy
Non
Marta Kostyuk 100.0%
Talia Gibson 1.0%
Oksana Selekhmeteva 1.0%
Ekaterina Alexandrova <1%
$52,388 Vol.
$52,388 Vol.
Ekaterina Alexandrova
Non
Mirra Andreeva
Non
Hailey Baptiste
Non
Belinda Bencic
Non
Anna Bondar
Non
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
Non
Sorana Cîrstea
Non
Jaqueline Cristian
Non
Leylah Fernandez
Non
Coco Gauff
Non
Viktorija Golubic
Non
Iva Jovic
Non
Sofia Kenin
Non
Ashlyn Krueger
Non
Eva Lys
Non
Robin Montgomery
Non
Oleksandra Oliynykova
Non
Camila Osorio
Non
Jasmine Paolini
Non
Jessica Pegula
Non
Yulia Putintseva
Non
Kaitlin Quevedo
Non
Emma Raducanu
Non
Liudmila Samsonova
Non
Solana Sierra
Non
Zeynep Sonmez
Non
Peyton Stearns
Non
Elina Svitolina
Non
Moyuka Uchijima
Non
Dalma Galfi
Non
Tyra Caterina Grant
Non
Anhelina Kalinina
Non
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova
Non
Irina-Camelia Begu
Non
Kimberly Birrell
Non
Katie Boulter
Non
Marie Bouzková
Non
Elisabetta Cocciaretto
Non
Alexandra Eala
Non
Magdalena Frech
Non
Talia Gibson
Non
Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva
Non
Anna Kalinskaya
Non
Daria Kasatkina
Non
Madison Keys
Non
Ann Li
Non
Elise Mertens
Non
Linda Noskova
Non
Naomi Osaka
Non
Jelena Ostapenko
Non
Karolina Pliskova
Non
Kamilla Rakhimova
Non
Elena Rybakina
Non
Maria Sakkari
Non
Laura Siegemund
Non
Katerina Siniaková
Non
Sara Sorribes Tormo
Non
Iga Swiatek
Non
Ajla Tomljanovic
Non
Tereza Valentova
Non
Xinyu Wang
Non
Venus Williams
Non
Alina Charaeva
Non
Leolia Jeanjean
Non
Sinja Kraus
Non
Daria Snigur
Non
Amanda Anisimova
Non
Paula Badosa
Non
Julia Grabher
Non
Marta Kostyuk
Oui
Petra Marcinko
Non
Victoria Mboko
Non
Caty McNally
Non
Elena-Gabriela Ruse
Non
Aryna Sabalenka
Non
Diana Shnaider
Non
Janice Tjen
Non
Shuai Zhang
Non
Emiliana Arango
Non
Elvina Kalieva
Non
Lois Boisson
Non
Cristina Bucsa
Non
Beatriz Haddad Maia
Non
Elsa Jacquemot
Non
Magda Linette
Non
Tatjana Maria
Non
Carlota Martínez Cirez
Non
Antonia Ruzic
Non
Laura Samson
Non
Oksana Selekhmeteva
Non
Clara Tauson
Non
Taylor Townsend
Non
Dayana Yastremska
Non
Anastasia Zakharova
Non
Qinwen Zheng
Non
Alycia Parks
Non
Yuliia Starodubtseva
Non
Simona Waltert
Non
Panna Udvardy
Non
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Madrid Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 Madrid Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after May 17, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Madrid Open (https://mutuamadridopen.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Apr 20, 2026, 7:21 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Madrid Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 Madrid Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after May 17, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Madrid Open (https://mutuamadridopen.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Marta Kostyuk's straight-sets 6-3, 7-5 victory over Mirra Andreeva in the 2026 Mutua Madrid Open women's singles final on May 2 has solidified trader consensus at 100% implied probability for her as champion, securing her maiden WTA 1000 title on clay at La Caja Magica. Early upsets eliminated top seeds including Aryna Sabalenka, Elena Rybakina, Coco Gauff, and Iga Swiatek, paving the way for the 26th-seeded Kostyuk—who rallied past Anastasia Potapova 6-2, 1-6, 6-1 in the semifinals—and ninth-seeded Andreeva, who advanced after holding off Hailey Baptiste. Kostyuk's superior clay-court form and resilience in the decider drove the market's dominant positioning, with official results leaving scant room for challenges absent disputes or appeals.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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