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icon for MLB: Stolen Bases Leader
Sports·MLB

MLB: Stolen Bases Leader

icon for MLB: Stolen Bases Leader
Sports·MLB

MLB: Stolen Bases Leader

Nasim Nuñez 83%

Chandler Simpson 12.6%

Bobby Witt Jr. 5.0%

Jazz Chisholm Jr. 3.2%

Polymarket

$676,408 Vol.

Nasim Nuñez 83%

Chandler Simpson 12.6%

Bobby Witt Jr. 5.0%

Jazz Chisholm Jr. 3.2%

Polymarket

$676,408 Vol.

Nasim Nuñez

$12,669 Vol.

83%

Chandler Simpson

$2,536 Vol.

13%

Bobby Witt Jr.

$923 Vol.

5%

Jazz Chisholm Jr.

$1,914 Vol.

3%

Randy Arozarena

$371 Vol.

2%

CJ Abrams

$689 Vol.

1%

Pete Crow-Armstrong

$842 Vol.

1%

José Caballero

$864 Vol.

1%

David Hamilton

$383 Vol.

1%

Jakob Marsee

$977 Vol.

<1%

Oneil Cruz

$1,463 Vol.

<1%

Jake McCarthy

$471 Vol.

<1%

Corbin Carroll

$458 Vol.

<1%

José Ramírez

$1,777 Vol.

<1%

Brice Turang

$1,191 Vol.

<1%

Nico Hoerner

$640,556 Vol.

<1%

Fernando Tatis Jr.

$331 Vol.

<1%

Carson Benge

$374 Vol.

<1%

Luisangel Acuña

$368 Vol.

<1%

Geraldo Perdomo

$786 Vol.

<1%

Elly De La Cruz

$812 Vol.

<1%

Brenton Doyle

$510 Vol.

<1%

Juan Soto

$1,941 Vol.

<1%

Trea Turner

$559 Vol.

<1%

Victor Scott II

$728 Vol.

<1%

Luis Robert Jr.

$412 Vol.

<1%

Francisco Lindor

$367 Vol.

<1%

Trevor Story

$396 Vol.

<1%

Gunnar Henderson

$416 Vol.

<1%

Josh Naylor

$326 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the player who steals the most bases during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve in favor of the player that records fewer caught stealings during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player with the higher on base percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more total bases during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Nasim Nuñez holds a commanding lead in the 2026 MLB stolen bases race with roughly 46 steals through early September, well ahead of Chandler Simpson’s approximately 41.** Nuñez, primarily with the Washington Nationals, has posted the highest volume and per-game rate (around 0.34 SB/G) among qualifiers, capitalizing on frequent opportunities in the lineup and strong success rates on attempts. The remaining schedule offers limited games for challengers to close the gap, reinforcing trader consensus around his implied probability exceeding 80%. Simpson of the Rays has maintained steady production with elite contact skills and speed but trails by a margin that would require an unusually aggressive final stretch to overcome. Mid-tier contenders including Bobby Witt Jr., Jazz Chisholm Jr., Pete Crow-Armstrong, José Caballero, and CJ Abrams sit in the low-to-mid 30s or below, facing steeper deficits and fewer remaining contests. Official MLB tracking through the regular-season close on or around September 28 will determine the outright leader, with Nuñez’s established edge and minimal late volatility shaping the current market positioning.

This market will resolve according to the player who steals the most bases during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve in favor of the player that records fewer caught stealings during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player with the higher on base percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more total bases during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the player who steals the most bases during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve in favor of the player that records fewer caught stealings during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player with the higher on base percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more total bases during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$676,408
End Date
Sep 28, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 22, 2026, 4:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the player who steals the most bases during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve in favor of the player that records fewer caught stealings during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player with the higher on base percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more total bases during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Nasim Nuñez holds a commanding lead in the 2026 MLB stolen bases race with roughly 46 steals through early September, well ahead of Chandler Simpson’s approximately 41.** Nuñez, primarily with the Washington Nationals, has posted the highest volume and per-game rate (around 0.34 SB/G) among qualifiers, capitalizing on frequent opportunities in the lineup and strong success rates on attempts. The remaining schedule offers limited games for challengers to close the gap, reinforcing trader consensus around his implied probability exceeding 80%. Simpson of the Rays has maintained steady production with elite contact skills and speed but trails by a margin that would require an unusually aggressive final stretch to overcome. Mid-tier contenders including Bobby Witt Jr., Jazz Chisholm Jr., Pete Crow-Armstrong, José Caballero, and CJ Abrams sit in the low-to-mid 30s or below, facing steeper deficits and fewer remaining contests. Official MLB tracking through the regular-season close on or around September 28 will determine the outright leader, with Nuñez’s established edge and minimal late volatility shaping the current market positioning.

This market will resolve according to the player who steals the most bases during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve in favor of the player that records fewer caught stealings during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player with the higher on base percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more total bases during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the player who steals the most bases during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve in favor of the player that records fewer caught stealings during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player with the higher on base percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more total bases during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$676,408
End Date
Sep 28, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 22, 2026, 4:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"MLB: Stolen Bases Leader" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 30 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Nasim Nuñez" at 83%, followed by "Chandler Simpson" at 13%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 83¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 83% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "MLB: Stolen Bases Leader" has generated $676.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 22, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "MLB: Stolen Bases Leader," browse the 30 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MLB: Stolen Bases Leader" is "Nasim Nuñez" at 83%, meaning the market assigns a 83% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Chandler Simpson" at 13%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MLB: Stolen Bases Leader" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.