Early in the 2026 MLS regular season, Vancouver Whitecaps top the overall standings and power rankings with an unbeaten run, fueling their 10.8% implied probability, while LAFC sits close behind at 13.5% despite a first loss last week after opening with a statement 3-0 win over Inter Miami. Inter Miami leads trader consensus at 16.0% on Lionel Messi's star power and recent road wins (3-2 at Colorado Rapids, 2-0 at Real Salt Lake), even after Javier Mascherano's abrupt resignation two weeks ago and lingering defensive issues. Nashville SC paces the Eastern Conference, underscoring league parity with 6+ teams above 5%—a tight Supporters' Shield race and playoff unpredictability keep the MLS Cup path wide open for West contenders like San Jose Earthquakes and expansion San Diego FC.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedInter Miami CF 16%
Los Angeles FC 14%
Vancouver Whitecaps FC 10.8%
Nashville SC 6.3%
$16,178,239 Vol.
$16,178,239 Vol.
Inter Miami CF
16%
Los Angeles FC
14%
Vancouver Whitecaps FC
11%
Nashville SC
6%
San Diego FC
6%
New York City FC
5%
Seattle Sounders FC
3%
San Jose Earthquakes
3%
FC Cincinnati
3%
Columbus Crew
2%
LA Galaxy
2%
Charlotte FC
2%
Toronto FC
2%
New York Red Bulls
2%
Chicago Fire FC
2%
Houston Dynamo FC
2%
Philadelphia Union
2%
Minnesota United FC
1%
Real Salt Lake
1%
Orlando City SC
1%
Atlanta United FC
1%
Austin FC
1%
FC Dallas
1%
D.C. United
1%
Portland Timbers
1%
St. Louis City SC
1%
New England Revolution
<1%
CF Montréal
<1%
Colorado Rapids
<1%
Sporting Kansas City
<1%
Inter Miami CF 16%
Los Angeles FC 14%
Vancouver Whitecaps FC 10.8%
Nashville SC 6.3%
$16,178,239 Vol.
$16,178,239 Vol.
Inter Miami CF
16%
Los Angeles FC
14%
Vancouver Whitecaps FC
11%
Nashville SC
6%
San Diego FC
6%
New York City FC
5%
Seattle Sounders FC
3%
San Jose Earthquakes
3%
FC Cincinnati
3%
Columbus Crew
2%
LA Galaxy
2%
Charlotte FC
2%
Toronto FC
2%
New York Red Bulls
2%
Chicago Fire FC
2%
Houston Dynamo FC
2%
Philadelphia Union
2%
Minnesota United FC
1%
Real Salt Lake
1%
Orlando City SC
1%
Atlanta United FC
1%
Austin FC
1%
FC Dallas
1%
D.C. United
1%
Portland Timbers
1%
St. Louis City SC
1%
New England Revolution
<1%
CF Montréal
<1%
Colorado Rapids
<1%
Sporting Kansas City
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Feb 17, 2026, 6:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Early in the 2026 MLS regular season, Vancouver Whitecaps top the overall standings and power rankings with an unbeaten run, fueling their 10.8% implied probability, while LAFC sits close behind at 13.5% despite a first loss last week after opening with a statement 3-0 win over Inter Miami. Inter Miami leads trader consensus at 16.0% on Lionel Messi's star power and recent road wins (3-2 at Colorado Rapids, 2-0 at Real Salt Lake), even after Javier Mascherano's abrupt resignation two weeks ago and lingering defensive issues. Nashville SC paces the Eastern Conference, underscoring league parity with 6+ teams above 5%—a tight Supporters' Shield race and playoff unpredictability keep the MLS Cup path wide open for West contenders like San Jose Earthquakes and expansion San Diego FC.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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